Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43c0efefd1596acdc4d1f9f2eee6ab4a44be7f08d6a2ced0ac358f91a53d8e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 29c | 35,745$10,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,366.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 12,347$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.95 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 21c | 11,414$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.29 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 11c | 10,028$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.08 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 4,405$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.64 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 71c | 3,132$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.19 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 2,499$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.52 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 2,007$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,993$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.86 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 28c | 1,985$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 29c | 1,651$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 1,290$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 1,280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Yes | 29c | 1,258$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,179$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 1,075$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 880.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 703.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 11c | 566.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 528.58$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 28c | 512.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Yes | 29c | 451.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 444.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 407.61$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 13c | 399.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 11c | 324.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 323.76$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 11c | 308.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 28c | 307.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Yes | 29c | 278.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Yes | 29c | 244.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked No | 75c | 223.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1068…84e1backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed No | 72c | 189.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Yes | 29c | 176.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 13c | 173.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 11c | 159.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 29c | 155.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…3f2bbacked Yes | 29c | 124.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 119.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 99.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 19c | 97.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Yes | 29c | 94.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 14c | 91.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…4815backed Yes | 29c | 90.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Yes | 28c | 90.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…95c3backed Yes | 21c | 90.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…b355backed Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 84.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 28c | 79.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 31c | 79.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 20c | 74.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…bbc5backed Yes | 29c | 69.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…cfabbacked Yes | 29c | 69.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 26c | 62.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 29c | 61.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 72c | 60.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 72c | 59.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 29c | 49.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 21c | 47.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Yes | 22c | 46.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 45.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 43.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…3284backed Yes | 29c | 41.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Yes | 25c | 41.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 76c | 38.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Yes | 29c | 34.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.