Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7bf134028e1025c703274b41f079924bcb2d4ffb89efe8b24a390b7e30e2c9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed No | 65c | 61,944$40,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,367.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 29,187$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,099.26 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 66c | 18,261$12,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,026.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed No | 66c | 14,939$9,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,859.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 33c | 12,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,375 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 67c | 12,154$8,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,143.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 65c | 8,927$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,802.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 16c | 8,098$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 32c | 7,013$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.5 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 5,875$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.5 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 33c | 5,635$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.61 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 14c | 5,568$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.45 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Yes | 32c | 4,796$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 4,037$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 47c | 3,159$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.65 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 49c | 2,484$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.47 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 2,413$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.3 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 2,081$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.21 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 34c | 2,044$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.61 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 40c | 1,866$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.29 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,771$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.02 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 7c | 1,399$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 34c | 1,398$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.99 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked No | 44c | 1,388$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 59c | 1,347$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.07 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,222$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.48 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 19c | 1,192$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.62 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,120$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.47 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 34c | 1,067$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.22 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 33c | 1,018$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.04 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 46c | 998.21$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.07 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.42 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 940$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.67 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 35c | 766.11$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.97 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 34c | 706.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 64c | 674.71$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 660.59$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 34c | 594.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.7 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 67c | 591.25$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 35c | 587.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.86 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 67c | 573.12$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 568.62$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.29 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 35c | 563.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 65c | 500$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 21c | 462.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 373.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 32c | 325.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 64c | 315.27$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 48c | 313.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 22c | 274.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 52c | 265.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 257.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed No | 18c | 244.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 33c | 239.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 17c | 228.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 44c | 219.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 41c | 203.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 68c | 199.23$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked No | 43c | 198.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 70c | 196.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 45c | 193.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Yes | 35c | 189$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Yes | 33c | 179.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 68c | 179.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 55c | 172.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 35c | 169.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 22c | 165.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 78c | 152.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 65c | 151.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 35c | 148.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed No | 66c | 147.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 34c | 142.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 58c | 129.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…b3cdbacked No | 21c | 116.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 51c | 112.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes | 34c | 112.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed No | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 68c | 105.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 33c | 101.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.