TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,302,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,261,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,302,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed Yes79c970,841$763,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207,065.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No22c205,544$44,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,784.651136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No21c166,398$35,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,396.342236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No21c164,145$34,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,470.432045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No21c125,000$26,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,2503423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No21c64,500$13,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,6802920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No21c42,407$8,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,928.281421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No22c40,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,800944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No19c39,390$7,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,430.12317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No21c38,393$8,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,065.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No21c29,719$6,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,130.165040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes80c29,128$23,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,955.7324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No21c25,045$5,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,259.5362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No21c22,424$4,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.0287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes78c19,186$14,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,22116644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes79c17,773$14,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No21c16,640$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,494.381241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes79c14,906$11,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.524438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No22c11,299$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.886443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No22c10,878$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No21c10,584$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.543450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…a6b2backed No22c9,990$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No9c9,783$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.345642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No22c9,364$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.122536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes79c9,258$7,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.121855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No21c9,108$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.664447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No21c9,079$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No21c9,072$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No21c8,658$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.322835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No22c8,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7601838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No21c7,681$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.0160%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes78c7,475$5,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.5424349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No21c7,131$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.511050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No22c7,040$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes78c6,947$5,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.326446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No22c6,416$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.521250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No10c5,313$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.0471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No22c5,136$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No21c5,120$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1003964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No20c5,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No11c4,601$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No22c4,137$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No22c4,136$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.92850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c4,088$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.521,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No21c3,840$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No21c3,671$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.9613348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No21c3,328$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No21c3,185$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.85850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6604252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes80c2,964$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes79c2,877$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.148435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No21c2,775$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes79c2,697$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.4723250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No21c2,238$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+128.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8d…cd39backed Yes78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes79c1,875$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.712766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No23c1,634$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.032944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31512647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No16c1,484$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.43148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes78c1,466$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.453458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes78c1,453$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.759960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes79c1,404$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.3833145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes78c1,393$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3812963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes78c1,368$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.049558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No21c1,269$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No23c1,263$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.08944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Yes79c1,250$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes80c1,235$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2474100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes78c1,217$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8712556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes80c1,208$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.571643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No22c1,192$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No21c1,109$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No21c1,033$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.03812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes78c1,008$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.824266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed No21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No21c952.96$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0227748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No21c952.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0511735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No6c912.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.755330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No21c803.63$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17227049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes78c800.01$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes78c764.19$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.398058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes79c723.36$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.913151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed No21c711.46$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No9c699.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No21c639.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-60.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes78c632.56$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.161656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes79c624.94$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes78c612.8$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.828254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes79c582.93$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.422458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e63…76fbbacked Yes79c562.44$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No21c545.45$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f4…a47fbacked Yes79c533.77$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054161%25 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes79c499.95$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.996349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cb…32c0backed No21c491.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.