TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c15,850$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.623,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c9,934$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.8843532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c8,952$7,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.72,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes16c6,944$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1113132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes6c5,981$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.686051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes20c5,535$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.6264043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xede0…ff11backed No69c3,545$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes30c3,161$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.6955058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked No56c2,295$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Yes17c2,137$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c1,808$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1411356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No79c1,687$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.839354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed Yes44c1,334$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.87650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No68c1,297$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0740744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.45538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No58c1,068$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.583756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Yes37c1,051$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.791275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c942.02$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.111,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes17c812.85$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.687538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes19c805.22$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4433938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes13c768.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed No56c765.13$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.66933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes13c729.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.782142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes15c694.18$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7714447.9%69 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes15c629.05$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.365945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No72c581.08$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3713139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…0ba7backed No65c580.03$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb4…4444backed No65c561.12$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed No72c549.66$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b2…d1aebacked No65c516.55$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952850%14 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f79…69aebacked No65c492.56$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5272…2b6ebacked No66c492.08$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa732…8db0backed No62c488.6$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc329…0b75backed Yes29c485.4$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c0f…9b92backed No65c475.43$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes11c473.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.064025%10 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x368a…6728backed No65c468.67$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe686…2e58backed No65c463.34$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcf…4f13backed No66c462.48$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No66c436.56$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.122562.2%140 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes13c426.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.452642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes12c397.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7413129.8%39 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes12c397.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.571435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c3…e920backed No65c394.67$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Yes35c388.02$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe388…9da3backed No63c388.02$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes12c340.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8315048%72 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes16c333$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.281233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes37c320.69$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed No57c317.9$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8398…047fbacked Yes15c307.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes15c300.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.881,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes8c289.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.644030%12 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked No68c288.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed No79c282.73$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.47580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d4…e54ebacked Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes11c269.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.310647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes11c265.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2217852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f17…66c7backed Yes38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.281250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c247.68$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7639857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes15c240.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.137935.4%28 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes15c235.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.351050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No58c225.12$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.555964.4%38 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes42c222.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.296665.2%43 W · 23 L+12.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes33c203.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.19540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes34c203.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.154134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes12c197.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.684837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Yes38c190.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3960…0975backed Yes16c180$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+130.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed No63c174.36$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.511844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes20c164.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbc7d…305ebacked No80c163.17$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Yes12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.941526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No62c157.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.617057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes16c155$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.812560.8%76 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes15c152.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8911956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…61f0backed Yes33c149.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Yes11c146.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes33c145.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.022748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1313066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3e9…5db5backed Yes16c128.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes32c126.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes45c124.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.181060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes14c122.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.185030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Yes30c118.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes12c118.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588f…3eabbacked Yes43c116.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes26c114.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.519265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes19c113.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.176850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes24c110.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9412141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6627554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No63c107.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.799476.6%72 W · 22 L+16.8wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xef89…e0a1backed Yes16c102.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked No68c100.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No77c100.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3322221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+36.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.725356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Yes44c98.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid+38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.