Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2b5ea4f01ae7074aec71238f3236be94a80423b60fc080d797f91c5a58a9733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 64c | 22,680$14,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,163.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 17,955$6,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517.34 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 1,217$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.48 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,037$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.16 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 50c | 686.51$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 48c | 553.78$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.88 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 48c | 421.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 36c | 387.03$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yes | 41c | 383.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 49c | 373$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 39c | 325.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed No | 65c | 259.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Yes | 48c | 252.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 40c | 241.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 225.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 221.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 52c | 198.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed No | 53c | 194.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 50c | 166.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 53c | 156$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…c410backed Yes | 50c | 153.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 48c | 144.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed No | 74c | 132.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 66c | 93.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 48c | 88.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…66c7backed No | 61c | 80.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed No | 51c | 77.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 36c | 76.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed No | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 50c | 75.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 62c | 73.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 53c | 64.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed No | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 53c | 57.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 50c | 48.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 39c | 45.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 43c | 45.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed No | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 52c | 42.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 38c | 38.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…7cb3backed Yes | 32c | 36.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 50c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 30.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 48c | 30.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 29.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 53c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed No | 48c | 26.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 52c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 50c | 25.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 50c | 20.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…b3bbbacked No | 73c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ac…cb84backed No | 67c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.