Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0db529a4bf34e4fd94d81cf6485bba98bc888e629187e29cf505c14a248f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 54c | 45,321$24,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,304.41 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 50c | 19,462$9,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,762.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 53c | 16,488$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 15,079$7,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.78 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 14,215$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,218.19 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 13,043$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.47 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 9,476$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.64 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…78ffbacked Over | 53c | 8,112$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 6,048$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.6 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 50c | 3,507$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.29 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 51c | 3,290$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 2,922$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.41 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 2,089$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.25 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Over | 52c | 1,881$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Over | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 52c | 1,864$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,830$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.98 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 50c | 1,717$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 48c | 1,560$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.2 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Under | 49c | 1,484$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 1,416$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…2013backed Under | 50c | 1,141$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 47c | 1,098$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.79 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 1,049$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.59 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 52c | 1,009$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 886.89$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.85 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 870.44$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.11 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Under | 46c | 842.47$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 785.88$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.94 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 50c | 744.77$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 721.12$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 42c | 704.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.46 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 71c | 691.2$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.32 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 52c | 681.98$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.63 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 52c | 572.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 24c | 518.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 515.92$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.75 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 47c | 510.81$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.63 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 33c | 502.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 491.6$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 53c | 461.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Under | 50c | 461.47$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 436.06$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 427.01$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Under | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Under | 36c | 405.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 52c | 374.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 301.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 296.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Over | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…a355backed Under | 35c | 273.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 254$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 247.53$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 239.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 62c | 222.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 49c | 201.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 48c | 162.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 8c | 147$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +292.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 145.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 42c | 144.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 70c | 132.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 51c | 129.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 77c | 128.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 77c | 127.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Under | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 49c | 117.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 112.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 45c | 106.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a54bbacked Under | 48c | 100.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.