MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x701e4f03609ae3849aaacb874ebcf108264494e6247074e31e5db394642eb879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Houston Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $748,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $730,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Athletics | 46c | 189,821$88,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,737.73 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 69,999$38,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,499.63 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Athletics | 45c | 34,802$15,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,141.21 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 30,986$15,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,018.45 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Houston Astros | 55c | 25,835$14,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,288.74 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 25,444$13,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,485.36 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Houston Astros | 53c | 21,600$11,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,448 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Houston Astros | 54c | 21,198$11,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,447.09 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 50c | 14,074$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,096.64 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Houston Astros | 54c | 11,777$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Houston Astros | 46c | 10,672$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.19 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Athletics | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 45c | 8,748$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,811.47 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 35c | 8,480$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Houston Astros | 54c | 7,800$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.98 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Athletics | 44c | 7,784$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.85 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Houston Astros | 53c | 7,000$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Athletics | 59c | 6,862$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.31 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 18c | 6,492$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Houston Astros | 54c | 5,908$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Houston Astros | 45c | 5,800$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.79 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Athletics | 57c | 5,360$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.93 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 32c | 5,224$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletics | 46c | 5,128$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.52 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 5,105$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Athletics | 53c | 5,003$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.56 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 46c | 5,002$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Houston Astros | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…073bbacked Athletics | 55c | 4,741$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 51c | 4,642$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.46 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Houston Astros | 36c | 4,593$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.8 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Houston Astros | 47c | 4,542$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.67 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Athletics | 45c | 4,298$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.78 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Athletics | 60c | 4,083$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.11 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Athletics | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Athletics | 56c | 3,960$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.24 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Houston Astros | 7c | 3,621$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Athletics | 59c | 3,572$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.49 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ff66backed Houston Astros | 74c | 3,391$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Houston Astros | 54c | 3,271$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.42 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Athletics | 54c | 3,247$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.56 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 57c | 3,156$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.07 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros | 54c | 2,991$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.02 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 57c | 2,869$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,855$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.32 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 19c | 2,796$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.67 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,697$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 65c | 2,562$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.03 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,509$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 2,485$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.05 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Athletics | 57c | 2,444$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.99 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Athletics | 51c | 2,404$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.07 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Athletics | 56c | 2,386$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 2,365$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.29 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 56c | 2,238$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.36 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Houston Astros | 55c | 2,221$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.32 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Athletics | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,107$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics | 46c | 2,048$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Athletics | 45c | 2,032$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.1 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Athletics | 49c | 2,016$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Athletics | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…eb73backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,943$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,934$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.7 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Athletics | 77c | 1,507$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,387$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.11 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,328$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.54 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Houston Astros | 1c | 1,282$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,252$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.32 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,216$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.32 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Athletics | 59c | 1,064$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.87 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Houston Astros | 1c | 1,054$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 25c | 1,051$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,011$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.41 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Athletics | 47c | 1,004$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.28 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…78cebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 1,000$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 952.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Athletics | 56c | 951.35$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.34 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Houston Astros | 54c | 914.06$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.59 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Houston Astros | 20c | 897.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Houston Astros | 53c | 895.14$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Houston Astros | 54c | 876.62$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.37 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Houston Astros | 54c | 855.35$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.89 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 51c | 791.84$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.06 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 25c | 780.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 720.55$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.1 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…8eadbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 714.08$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 707.52$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.68 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Athletics | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Athletics | 45c | 641.48$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Houston Astros | 50c | 618.39$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Athletics | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Athleticsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.