MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee364f91ce60cd8504e78a13b21de27bd509baef0362952c14f280b0c1c11eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 46c | 10,591$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.01 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.5 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 4,805$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.53 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Over | 46c | 3,008$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.31 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 54c | 2,966$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.54 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,881$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 53c | 1,263$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.61 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 46c | 957.29$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.67 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 44c | 904.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 711.2$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.05 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 54c | 701.59$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 55c | 617.32$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.61 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 55c | 616.52$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.25 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 616.39$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 67c | 599.25$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 54c | 545.52$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 54c | 458$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 47c | 381.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 54c | 361.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 45c | 301.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 234.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 39c | 223.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 219.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Over | 47c | 214.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 56c | 208.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 30c | 192.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 186.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 55c | 186.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 55c | 185.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 55c | 183.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 56c | 174.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 164$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 13c | 139.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 125.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 13c | 123.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 116.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 53c | 101.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 45c | 98.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 45c | 88.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 85.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 81.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 77.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…6c47backed Over | 57c | 72.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 75c | 71.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Under | 54c | 57.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 55c | 54.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 45c | 53.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 47c | 50.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 53c | 48.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…5b82backed Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 42.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 54c | 36.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -10.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 35.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 33.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 55c | 32.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 54c | 32.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 46c | 32.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 31.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 29.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 46c | 27.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 45c | 25.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Over | 46c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 69c | 15.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.