TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Under56c45,107$25,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,259.752740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Over43c12,564$5,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,161.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6002853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.965156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over44c6,013$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.134438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under56c5,627$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.874459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over36c5,455$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.781910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over47c4,866$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over66c4,858$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over44c4,199$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.663354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c3,937$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.963834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under55c3,651$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under34c3,550$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.9124052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Under35c3,295$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over44c3,211$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.38254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over41c2,351$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.091566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over44c2,196$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over44c2,055$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.9514452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over66c1,898$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.5135157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under57c1,717$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06a…22a6backed Over45c1,504$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over44c1,502$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.3875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+64.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under46c1,396$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c1,362$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.451,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c1,249$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.8362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over44c1,237$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.795763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under11c1,232$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.422334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over44c1,151$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.238058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over44c1,138$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.374427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over25c1,102$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.381050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over54c1,065$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.764864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under55c1,048$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.676952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over69c1,023$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.37875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab3…5e13backed Under12c1,000$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under60c975.57$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over44c933.45$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over44c883.71$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.885251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over44c779.88$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under58c764$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.1221144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over38c743.05$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.691040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Over44c682.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under16c678$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.484348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under58c651.38$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.2648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under18c631.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.48633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+971.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c613.48$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.771,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.865100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under19c562.78$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.79922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over64c505.86$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over29c497.44$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.187227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c477.1$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c449.32$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under22c441.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.293138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c421.82$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Under46c421.35$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under63c407.42$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over46c383.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.492277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.3wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+78.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c379.87$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Under62c365.52$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under35c355.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.553060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under57c350.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.719458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over44c346.48$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0312367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under57c331.44$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.923568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c306.01$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over33c270.41$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.64205%1 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-84.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c260.16$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Over54c250.3$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under63c247.68$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.411070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over43c241.89$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8827049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over44c241.07$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Under61c240.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…e132backed Over77c220$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1233268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda71…4915backed Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c200.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Under65c195.8$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.27850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over44c193.28$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Over80c185.18$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over80c185.18$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.041283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under56c181.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Under54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Under31c175.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.271729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over79c171.04$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.423154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over43c170.24$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.34050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over46c168.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.878654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Under62c167.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.55757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over65c167.43$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.13759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over58c166.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.881070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under55c162.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.473943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over73c161.72$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.661471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c159$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4446450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.