Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a7755406e6b798f3e78c04ff77f0456f7d7d5f81d89598265f527b2cee2ab8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toulouse FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Toulouse FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toulouse FC | 71c | 3,061$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.69 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toulouse FC | 67c | 1,751$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 28c | 1,364$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.2 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 1,158$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.94 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 1,071$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 28c | 981.48$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.71 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Toulouse FC | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Toulouse FC | 68c | 362.1$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Toulouse FC | 64c | 349.17$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 349.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Toulouse FC | 68c | 310.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 293.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Toulouse FC | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Toulouse FC | 67c | 204.81$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 196.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toulouse FC | 67c | 193.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 192.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Toulouse FC | 69c | 190.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 156.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 151.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 146.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Toulouse FC | 69c | 106.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed Toulouse FC | 67c | 102.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toulouse FC | 66c | 99.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 90.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 88.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Toulouse FC | 67c | 86.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Toulouse FC | 66c | 81.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Toulouse FC | 69c | 80.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Toulouse FC | 69c | 78.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Toulouse FC | 66c | 65.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…a703backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 25c | 60.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 51.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Toulouse FC | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…271fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 49.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Toulouse FC | 68c | 47.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 46.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Toulouse FC | 71c | 41.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…6773backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 40.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…b9b0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 34.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toulouse FC | 69c | 32.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Toulouse FC | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Toulouse FC | 77c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Toulouse FC | 67c | 19.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Toulouse FC | 74c | 19.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toulouse FC | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.