TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f14…1e77backed Over69c9,877$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c8,870$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.931,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c4,337$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.4552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c3,427$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.4187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over65c3,032$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.921566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c2,984$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.41,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c2,008$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.9924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under32c1,899$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.656952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.892040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.972334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over69c1,422$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.921560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf820…88cfbacked Under36c1,298$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c983.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over61c891$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over51c885$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under32c848.3$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under13c804.73$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.971040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over68c801.37$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.445100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over61c800.49$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.194864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…0d62backed Over52c739.7$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c640.19$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.278654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c622.48$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Over68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under38c442.95$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3210942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over68c442.6$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.634438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under35c375$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over67c320.02$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.321471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c309.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c300$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3114544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under35c261.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.54544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c239.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over69c213.17$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over63c197.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under35c180$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe689…b81abacked Over67c175.56$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over68c172.82$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.141855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e2…dc8fbacked Over62c163.82$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over62c160.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.565763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over68c156.93$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Under32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Under33c145.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Over68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Over68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Over69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c142$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4446450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over69c139.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.142850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c136.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6f…e1f5backed Over68c136.82$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under37c120.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7427748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…6e9dbacked Over68c118.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over65c109.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.21656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over69c99.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.863447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over68c98.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.396253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over78c91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.111947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Under34c81.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Over70c79.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.04757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf2…9959backed Over62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2259…67c3backed Over62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under33c75.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over66c73.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.974055%22 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under32c71.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7514452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over58c66.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under35c65.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under40c65.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.032369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over53c64.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over61c64.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.982669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under32c61.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a98…1071backed Over68c61.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.553100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Over67c57.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.137632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over68c57.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4610964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under34c55.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.735560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over68c54.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.491936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under32c54.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5414057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over80c51.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.563951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Under33c50.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over62c50.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0514247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x959e…0315backed Over67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over71c49.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.612050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f9…2e72backed Over63c48.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5382…8d53backed Under35c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03d1…f694backed Under33c47.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over62c45.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.273268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over62c45.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.275463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over62c45.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.274050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over62c45.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over62c43.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.68058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over66c43.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.491650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.