Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25361dff91ccb47a28a01c7f6672ad7f1218339aa0299792f8e34b9f2fcb7261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 53c | 26,257$13,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,933.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 21,583$11,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900.36 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 41c | 9,570$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.59 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Under | 38c | 5,353$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 4,701$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.73 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 59c | 3,412$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 57c | 2,892$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,803$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.54 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 39c | 1,702$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.78 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 60c | 1,311$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.21 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Over | 1c | 1,293$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bb…bd91backed Over | 66c | 1,262$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 42c | 1,127$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 56c | 846.5$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 38c | 796.79$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 633.24$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.36 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 67c | 481.42$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 35c | 457.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.51 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 47c | 446.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.17 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 432$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 50c | 348.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 47c | 331.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 70c | 323.34$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…3428backed Over | 26c | 316.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 315.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 63c | 307.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 299.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Under | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Under | 39c | 237.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 225.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 35c | 218.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 200.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 56c | 197.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 183.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 34c | 170.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 70c | 168.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 49c | 155.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 61c | 155.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Over | 51c | 151.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 59c | 150.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 55c | 145.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 35c | 131.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 75c | 123.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 62c | 110.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Under | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 59c | 97.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…73acbacked Over | 53c | 92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 26c | 89.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 52c | 78.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 32c | 78.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 42c | 71.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Over | 57c | 68.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 61c | 67.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 16c | 65.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 24c | 63.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 59c | 63.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 41c | 59.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 70c | 58.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 51c | 56.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 75c | 56.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 62c | 55.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 54.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 27c | 53.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…acc5backed Over | 57c | 49.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…7878backed Under | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0949…72f7backed Over | 35c | 47.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 39c | 46.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Under | 42c | 45.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 65c | 44.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 58c | 44.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 61c | 41.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 27c | 40.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 53c | 36.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 59c | 35.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…7b9abacked Under | 43c | 31.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 29.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…b052backed Under | 78c | 29.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Under | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Under | 76c | 25.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 40c | 25.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 66c | 25.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.