TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over53c26,257$13,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,933.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c21,583$11,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,900.361,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over41c9,570$3,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,923.596942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Under38c5,353$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c4,701$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.735763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under59c3,412$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.321764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over57c2,892$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.46560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c1,803$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.541,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under39c1,702$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.788058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under60c1,311$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.215463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed Over1c1,293$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bb…bd91backed Over66c1,262$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over42c1,127$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.323040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under56c846.5$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under38c796.79$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.081040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c633.24$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under67c481.42$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.144348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under35c457.38$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.514050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under47c446.24$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.173568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over22c432$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.96518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Under50c348.42$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over47c331.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Over70c323.34$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.342142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ddc…3428backed Over26c316.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c315.97$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under31c309.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.373268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over63c307.57$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over42c299.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9114544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Under70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.17757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Under39c237.57$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under31c225.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under35c218.6$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.582369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over24c200.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.049920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over56c197.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.522231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c183.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under34c170.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over70c168.34$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.841471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.482050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over49c155.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.091947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under61c155.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.441070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe81…0dbcbacked Over51c151.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over59c150.1$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.451631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Under55c145.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.165757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Over70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Under35c131.56$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Under75c123.13$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.233046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under62c110.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.891163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd628…a698backed Under74c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Over27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.695230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Under76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under59c99.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.672138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over68c98.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.695026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under59c97.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.594459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.513060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff4…73acbacked Over53c92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over26c89.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.364438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under52c78.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.963554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Under32c78.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.964060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under31c77.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.343865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over42c71.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.943655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Over57c68.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over61c67.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over16c65.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.462313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over24c63.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2522854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under59c63.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.841384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over41c59.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.383345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over70c58.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over51c56.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under75c56.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under62c55.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over44c54.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.16360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over27c53.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.342927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over57c49.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Under40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b8…6253backed Over25c47.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0949…72f7backed Over35c47.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under39c46.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.116242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed Under42c45.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-60.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under65c44.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under58c44.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.474055%22 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over67c43.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3460%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Under61c41.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over27c40.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over53c36.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under59c35.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aff…7b9abacked Under43c31.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over46c29.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b4…b052backed Under78c29.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.483100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Under79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7552…3d52backed Under76c25.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over40c25.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.412070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over66c25.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.