Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a8c327dd307b589c741ab28bd08bef3f86b6f00f0479af034ad9eea681ec42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 1,483$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.85 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked No | 51c | 774.38$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 49c | 552.09$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 448.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 434.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Yes | 52c | 383.92$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 53c | 311.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 47c | 290.57$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 51c | 285.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 51c | 273.29$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 47c | 271.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 251.09$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 49c | 246.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 237.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 51c | 189.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed No | 59c | 186.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 170.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 53c | 165.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 52c | 163.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…2a4abacked Yes | 53c | 144.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 51c | 133.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…1194backed Yes | 54c | 131.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 54c | 126.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed No | 47c | 118.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 50c | 111.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 110.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 51c | 94.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 51c | 94.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 51c | 94.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 51c | 94.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed No | 53c | 93.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 51c | 92.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 54c | 90.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 51c | 87.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 51c | 81.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 77.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 53c | 77.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed No | 50c | 69.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 53c | 69.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 53c | 60.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 51c | 59.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Yes | 51c | 58.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 55.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 54.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 52c | 49.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 51c | 48.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 45.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 52c | 42.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked No | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…b00cbacked Yes | 53c | 38.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…a867backed Yes | 53c | 36.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 51c | 35.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 51c | 32.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…72acbacked Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…e96bbacked Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 52c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6c32backed No | 50c | 23.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No | 50c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 50c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.