Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f70d6b447eba3a932566b69b0b6b054cd704802ff74a30b91fef6a0c861d887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 8,009$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.62 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 2,602$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 24c | 730.28$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 15c | 664.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 12c | 622.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 508.43$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 410.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 13c | 351.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Under | 16c | 242.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 76c | 199.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 18c | 199.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 13c | 142.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 79c | 99.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 14c | 80.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 13c | 79.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 21c | 65.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 78c | 40.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.