NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd21174db1414e62cc9d28a3fbbed0853e0938fd4b5275b163083922a1f3867a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 50,000$25,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,004.63 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 48c | 28,995$13,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,919.27 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 10,450$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.07 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 10,381$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.24 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 42c | 5,384$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 49c | 5,302$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…743fbacked Over | 52c | 5,263$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 51c | 4,720$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.74 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 3,298$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.02 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 3,276$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 1,975$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.12 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 51c | 1,751$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.98 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 1,665$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.12 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,432$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.22 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Over | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 51c | 974.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.27 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 48c | 823.27$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.21 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 791$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 52c | 692.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 52c | 692.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 665.89$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 52c | 598.08$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.08 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 429.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 52c | 308.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 52c | 306.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…444ebacked Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 250$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 243.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 243.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 243.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 243.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 243.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 52c | 243.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 48c | 237$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Under | 42c | 187$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 184.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 149.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 144$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 79c | 133.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 105.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 52c | 100.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 97.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Over | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 46c | 84.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…8012backed Under | 49c | 58.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Under | 49c | 54.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 37.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…bb8cbacked Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 33.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 51c | 33.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Over | 52c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 56c | 25.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfe…cdf7backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 52c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a3…0394backed Over | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 50c | 23.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…66abbacked Over | 50c | 22.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Over | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…8f23backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 49c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6411…9d02backed Over | 50c | 20.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…22d5backed Under | 49c | 20.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. LightningLightning won
- Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.