NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fee3a297813cc20839f3cd219e48824d243b16bd3b7f3db146a19d755f1ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 53c | 6,714$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.28 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 52c | 6,374$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.84 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 6,000$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,658$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 4,622$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.59 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 3,361$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 2,464$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.25 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 830$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 800$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 347.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 320.58$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 52c | 314$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 269.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 256.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 251.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…b1b7backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 47c | 196.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 181$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 49c | 151$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 143.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 52c | 133$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 49c | 124$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 51c | 124$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 108.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13f…0730backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 53c | 94.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 47c | 94.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 47c | 94.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 47c | 90.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 47c | 67.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 53c | 52.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 49c | 51.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Over | 53c | 34.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3671…98febacked Over | 53c | 32.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Under | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 49c | 27.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…832bbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…db8abacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…3674backed Over | 53c | 24.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1684…5db9backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…96b0backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…9eb0backed Over | 52c | 23.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e0…38cbbacked Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 55c | 22.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0143…d770backed Over | 53c | 22.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…7500backed Over | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…60b0backed Over | 52c | 20.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…10f5backed Over | 53c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…f052backed Over | 52c | 19.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. StarsStars won
- Jets vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jets vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.