NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd675a2738edb5c6acd3930c482fef4f6e240d2c9037c820ba0e9c9d28233ff63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 64c | 725.21$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.13 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Stars | 36c | 487.68$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Jets | 61c | 197.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jets | 64c | 183.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…7799backed Stars | 38c | 141.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 36c | 130.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Stars | 36c | 128.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Stars | 37c | 87.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Jets | 63c | 77.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jets | 65c | 77.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Stars | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Stars | 38c | 67.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Jets | 64c | 65.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 36c | 64.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stars | 37c | 56.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Stars | 35c | 55.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jets | 60c | 55.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Jets | 64c | 53.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Stars | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Stars | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Jets | 64c | 45.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Stars | 36c | 45.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stars | 38c | 43.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Jets | 62c | 40.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Jets | 62c | 39.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Stars | 40c | 34.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jets | 64c | 32.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Stars | 40c | 30.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Jets | 64c | 30.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Jets | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Jets | 63c | 30.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Stars | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Stars | 55c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Jets | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Jets | 64c | 21.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Jets | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. StarsStars won
- Jets vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jets vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.