TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Jets, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Stars58c58,746$34,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,673.1167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets40c55,350$22,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,259.911,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jets42c35,700$14,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,99448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Stars64c25,316$16,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,185.2327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jets42c24,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,08048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Stars59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,92011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ae…6503backed Stars60c9,561$5,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Stars60c9,000$5,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars59c7,200$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95260249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e2…c355backed Jets40c6,966$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Stars60c6,785$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,71485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars61c6,779$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.31,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Stars59c5,450$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.9527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Jets42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Jets41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Stars58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9624945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Jets38c4,865$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.729146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets42c4,604$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.8461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd74…888dbacked Jets38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3302445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Stars58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.1652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x665c…307bbacked Stars60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.21861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets35c3,287$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.212,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets38c3,252$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.3883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Stars58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets19c2,849$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…8e68backed Jets40c2,800$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Jets40c2,731$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.2418641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Stars62c2,133$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.587258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars69c2,063$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.171,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Stars60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Stars59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8205253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Stars60c1,914$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.6420450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Stars60c1,800$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars60c1,785$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.61,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0569…66c9backed Stars60c1,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Stars59c1,520$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.159751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Stars61c1,457$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.3811058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…eac0backed Jets40c1,450$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Jets39c1,303$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Stars64c1,226$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.2789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Jets42c1,129$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.2466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Jets42c1,119$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stars60c1,072$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.492,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Stars60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40040049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Stars60c909.97$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9914954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Jets38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14c5…6ca2backed Jets40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Stars61c899.99$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.6312653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets6c849.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3260337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Stars59c833.51$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6945955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stars68c820.96$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.732,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jets39c799.94$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Stars80c791.51$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4818853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Stars80c790.25$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2219150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Stars59c757.75$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.143053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Jets7c745.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504330.2%13 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Stars60c728$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.613548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets40c718$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.892,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Jets41c697.34$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9113445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Stars61c659.99$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.428549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Stars59c615.47$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.812751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Jets41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Stars59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa216…0c75backed Jets40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Jets13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stars60c579.52$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.822,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets12c574.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.563,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Jets41c520.38$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Stars61c500$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19714638.4%56 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7249…bcb6backed Stars60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58a1…e1bebacked Stars61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Jets40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20049249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4d…f089backed Stars60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Stars60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20038555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Jets41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20512152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Stars61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.89762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Stars65c477.6$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0412745.7%58 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Stars60c462.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.468055%44 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ec…c208backed Jets40c458.55$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.342638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b716backed Stars61c450$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stars57c436.81$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Stars58c405.5$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa35…2a55backed Stars60c403$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee0…ea5dbacked Stars60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Jets41c399.12$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6438645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Jets29c388$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3919836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f7…b216backed Stars60c379.35$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.741546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2617…a460backed Stars60c377.15$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.861850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Jets13c370.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stars75c369$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7234538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…5d9fbacked Stars61c354$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.064151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Stars60c331.33$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5354047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6cdebacked Jets39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Stars68c299.61$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.413856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d46…84fcbacked Stars60c290$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Stars58c289.02$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.982846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b6…4723backed Jets40c280.85$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.341850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f25…6f07backed Jets38c259$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4211742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc794…7b53backed Stars64c259$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2412158.7%71 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.