Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2068d217d8d500631d75f806521e19813ef7f559a4d445b6a531e7e38ae9c92e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Golden Bullsof Zhejiang Golden Bulls, Guangzhou Loong Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 0c | 12,749$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 79c | 1,510$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 1,043$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 26c | 849.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 799.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 774.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1e48backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 74c | 622.42$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 15c | 454.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 79c | 399.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 312.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 308.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 238.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 78c | 234.56$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 217.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 212$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 73c | 197.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 170.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 166.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 78c | 165.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 74c | 163.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 147.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 13c | 146.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 145.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 140.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 27c | 127.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 15c | 125.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 118.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…acfdbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 76c | 99.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 79c | 99.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 98.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 18c | 96.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…cb3fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 31c | 95.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 27c | 91.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 12c | 86.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 36c | 80.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 76c | 75.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 73.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 16c | 69.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 61.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 60.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 31c | 59.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 26c | 53.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 50.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 79c | 50.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 28c | 42.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 42.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 15.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.