Fifa International · resolved market
Will Wales win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf49ef49aebd07cfcf34c7f11e044ffc823435d9f34bc7191d1f431eeab8f1194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 4,888$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 22c | 3,399$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,293$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 990.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 521.56$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.85 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 397.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 385.45$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 44c | 317.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 296.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 55c | 233.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 48c | 201.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Yes | 56c | 197.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…3c08backed No | 45c | 182.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 180.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 56c | 177.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…3b03backed Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 37c | 156.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 154.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed No | 78c | 141.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 136.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…6afebacked Yes | 56c | 123.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 47c | 123.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…593dbacked Yes | 57c | 111.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 99.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 98.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 45c | 95.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 42c | 90.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 85.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…68e1backed Yes | 56c | 70.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 50c | 68.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 60.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 50c | 60.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 41c | 59.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 57.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 44c | 48.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…2c07backed Yes | 52c | 46.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9659backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 79c | 34.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 52c | 32.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes | 51c | 30.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 50c | 29.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 26.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 25.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Yes | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed No | 79c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wales win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Wales vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.