CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca28ec1cb6a246a7260a24ddd663bcfe7419e87968537c1c6e7aa27872e1a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Infinite | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5a…ff9fbacked Infinite | 9c | 17,547$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.27 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Infinite | 0c | 5,223$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Infinite | 8c | 4,409$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.7 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Infinite | 9c | 3,995$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.54 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Infinite | 9c | 3,599$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Infinite | 10c | 2,276$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Infinite | 10c | 1,989$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Infinite | 10c | 1,989$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Infinite | 19c | 809.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.02 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Infinite | 9c | 728.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 7c | 708.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Infinite | 7c | 687.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite | 6c | 634.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Infinite | 10c | 541.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…09bdbacked Infinite | 10c | 444.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Infinite | 5c | 425.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed Infinite | 6c | 412.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Infinite | 7c | 405.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Infinite | 10c | 303.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Infinite | 10c | 249.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed Infinite | 9c | 221.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Infinite | 8c | 149.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Infinite | 15c | 132.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Infinite | 10c | 131.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Infinite | 9c | 124.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Infinite | 11c | 100.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Infinite | 12c | 87.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Infinite | 14c | 80.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Infinite | 15c | 69.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Infinite - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Infinite - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.