TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Credit One Charleston Open: Kayla Day vs Paula Badosa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paula Badosaof Kayla Day, Paula Badosa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aee…fad4backed Paula Badosa74c26,874$19,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,070.4124557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kayla Day25c12,970$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.223945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Kayla Day23c8,584$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.479855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kayla Day17c6,492$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.176,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Paula Badosa80c5,985$4,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.852,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paula Badosa79c4,756$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.128,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Paula Badosa80c4,426$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.2520459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kayla Day23c4,188$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.312,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2790…94e6backed Kayla Day28c3,421$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.231030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Kayla Day28c2,667$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.2739431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Kayla Day12c2,566$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.354114.6%6 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Kayla Day20c2,448$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.822,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Paula Badosa75c2,181$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.433,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Kayla Day9c1,849$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.399737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede0…ff11backed Kayla Day26c1,831$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.834247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paula Badosa74c1,618$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.17,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Kayla Day31c1,456$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.7519938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Paula Badosa72c1,220$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.541,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Paula Badosa79c1,196$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.321,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Kayla Day24c1,182$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3828835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kayla Day35c1,092$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.5745737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kayla Day25c1,050$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.561,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kayla Day22c1,003$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5381938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kayla Day20c926.12$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.012,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Kayla Day10c921.08$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.54,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Paula Badosa70c802.65$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6152661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Paula Badosa71c719.6$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6150731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kayla Day23c683.55$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.224,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kayla Day20c607.91$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.041,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kayla Day23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13846932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kayla Day24c594.25$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6278536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…d34cbacked Kayla Day8c573.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.252420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paula Badosa73c479.44$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.457,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Kayla Day8c423.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.941,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kayla Day26c419.51$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0733235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Kayla Day25c403.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9128828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed Kayla Day26c382.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.383740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Paula Badosa75c340.75$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Kayla Day32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Paula Badosa76c284.43$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.081,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Kayla Day26c268.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7728552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d1…09bdbacked Kayla Day13c253.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.181323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Paula Badosa74c250.72$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0829461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a1…ee48backed Kayla Day39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Kayla Day27c245.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.984,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x111e…80dcbacked Kayla Day9c211.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8250%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kayla Day25c210$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.496,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Paula Badosa73c204$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0811659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Kayla Day32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6427940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Kayla Day25c199.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.996354%34 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Kayla Day28c191.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5815444.2%68 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Paula Badosa74c188.36$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9737540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Kayla Day26c185.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7754744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Kayla Day34c173.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.41,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe46d…8b87backed Kayla Day32c152.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.676550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kayla Day20c148.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kayla Day31c145.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.291,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Paula Badosa69c142.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.284,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Paula Badosa68c141.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8730056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Paula Badosa75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8328754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Paula Badosa75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8357349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Paula Badosa76c130.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3623256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf368…6499backed Kayla Day12c127.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.725427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Kayla Day38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1424450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kayla Day23c126.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Kayla Day36c106.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.461,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kayla Day29c104.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kayla Day25c103$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.757,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Paula Badosa76c101.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2830258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Kayla Day23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…d2c8backed Kayla Day11c93.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.493141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kayla Day32c90.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Kayla Day20c88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…1dc9backed Kayla Day14c87.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa05…fed7backed Paula Badosa75c85.37$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3416657.2%95 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Kayla Day39c76.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8535944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Kayla Day27c70.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.133132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Kayla Day27c70.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Paula Badosa74c66.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.449142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Paula Badosa78c65.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Kayla Day26c64.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.824734%16 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kayla Day25c64.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.132,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Paula Badosa79c59.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6814355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Kayla Day22c57.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6732043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Kayla Day37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.242,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Paula Badosa64c50.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1131358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Kayla Day25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.570729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Kayla Day24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Kayla Day34c46.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.824460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Kayla Day24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Kayla Day26c40.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5143752.2%228 W · 209 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Paula Badosa75c39.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Paula Badosa75c39.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85064%32 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Paula Badosa75c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.253,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Paula Badosa67c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd68…5307backed Paula Badosa63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.495100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Paula Badosa77c26.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1945147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x195f…8397backed Paula Badosa77c23.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.34366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Paula Badosa74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7225366.8%169 W · 84 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Paula Badosa68c21.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.