TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jessica Pegulaof Jessica Pegula, Jelena Ostapenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,532 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aee…fad4backed Jelena Ostapenko50c39,206$19,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,595.7924557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jessica Pegula57c25,445$14,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,895.382,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jessica Pegula54c24,793$13,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,516.582,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jelena Ostapenko2c19,440$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Jelena Ostapenko22c17,354$3,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,817.8810443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jelena Ostapenko44c14,194$6,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,302.117,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Jelena Ostapenko21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.0128828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Jelena Ostapenko13c9,325$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jessica Pegula66c9,004$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.358,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Jelena Ostapenko39c8,738$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.635628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Jelena Ostapenko35c8,574$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Jessica Pegula71c6,882$4,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.3336968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jessica Pegula41c6,109$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.316,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jelena Ostapenko20c3,906$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.981,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…008ebacked Jelena Ostapenko23c3,859$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.72213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Jelena Ostapenko6c3,718$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jelena Ostapenko43c3,518$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.986,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Jessica Pegula79c3,400$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.0123731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Jessica Pegula62c2,970$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.644360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb2…8ad7backed Jelena Ostapenko35c2,842$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.291338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Jessica Pegula45c2,773$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.621,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Jessica Pegula78c2,539$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.6747552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Jessica Pegula79c2,527$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.5120155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Jelena Ostapenko34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Jessica Pegula80c2,200$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Jessica Pegula40c2,015$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.151,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ed…92a0backed Jessica Pegula79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Jessica Pegula35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Jelena Ostapenko20c1,927$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.381,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jelena Ostapenko21c1,917$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Jessica Pegula41c1,719$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jelena Ostapenko21c1,600$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Jessica Pegula42c1,500$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8758951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Jessica Pegula66c1,460$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.970652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Jessica Pegula79c1,337$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0326254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jessica Pegula54c1,227$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.3581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Jelena Ostapenko18c1,127$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5916029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Jessica Pegula29c1,035$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9735344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Jelena Ostapenko20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Jessica Pegula54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4605565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Jelena Ostapenko21c958.77$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1695846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Jessica Pegula76c924$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.74450%22 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jessica Pegula78c917$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Jessica Pegula60c860$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.870465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Jessica Pegula54c849$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.2669249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Jessica Pegula75c783.72$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7331647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…61babacked Jessica Pegula78c782.05$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.053979.5%31 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jessica Pegula64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2544754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Jessica Pegula52c770.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.3447946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Jessica Pegula73c730$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.145457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Jessica Pegula80c702.17$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4354450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Jessica Pegula69c697.99$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4317754.8%97 W · 80 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Jessica Pegula43c690.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.836038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Jessica Pegula80c610$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Jelena Ostapenko20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Jessica Pegula71c591.39$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3922949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Jessica Pegula78c590$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.85658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed6f…2378backed Jelena Ostapenko23c580$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jelena Ostapenko18c558.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.557,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Jelena Ostapenko19c520.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Jessica Pegula79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.332975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Jessica Pegula79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10526541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Jelena Ostapenko22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jessica Pegula67c492.75$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.233,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Jelena Ostapenko21c476.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.841,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Jelena Ostapenko21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Jessica Pegula34c468.71$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6551933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Jessica Pegula78c458.97$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jelena Ostapenko33c449.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.344,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Jelena Ostapenko32c435.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1399530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Jessica Pegula41c430$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.827940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Jelena Ostapenko41c415.81$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6460943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Jessica Pegula62c384.71$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.191,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e54…fffdbacked Jelena Ostapenko22c384.62$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Jessica Pegula52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6212150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Jessica Pegula78c378.85$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.359949.5%49 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b8…ab23backed Jelena Ostapenko22c371.54$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Jessica Pegula54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3715762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Jessica Pegula54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3784857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Jessica Pegula80c345.06$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0121959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Jelena Ostapenko16c336$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.766930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Jessica Pegula61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8716743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Jelena Ostapenko49c320.08$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.346637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jessica Pegula55c314.96$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.62,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Jessica Pegula60c309.37$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7510267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ad…8c85backed Jessica Pegula78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Jessica Pegula78c297$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3412066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Jelena Ostapenko38c290.11$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4273458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Jessica Pegula52c281.58$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7618551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Jessica Pegula73c272.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.974772.3%34 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…185fbacked Jessica Pegula78c270$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Jelena Ostapenko34c256$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7143951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked Jessica Pegula78c243.85$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.652759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Jelena Ostapenko62c241.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.421540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Jelena Ostapenko21c238$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984632.6%15 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jessica Pegula71c234.74$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.847,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Jessica Pegula52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7716437.2%61 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Jessica Pegula79c228.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0996755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Jelena Ostapenko67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Jessica Pegula75c215.01$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.82,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.