Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b2390afd8a78258cc6cd8ce931fe4fe90c77c3df2834e04dd4d8dd994f73b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $865,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $944,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $865,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 52,472$30,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,590.8 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 14c | 40,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.81 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 15c | 29,771$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 26,298$17,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,574.86 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 13c | 17,307$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.9 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 15c | 16,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 68c | 15,033$10,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,240.95 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 14,797$8,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,264.43 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 41c | 14,444$5,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,182$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Yes | 14c | 11,858$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…ee2cbacked Yes | 77c | 11,055$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 11,049$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.79 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked No | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…aaa8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked No | 53c | 9,433$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Yes | 20c | 7,997$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Yes | 14c | 6,900$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 64c | 6,719$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.06 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 13c | 6,618$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 14c | 6,606$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.82 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 53c | 6,528$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 5c | 6,119$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.64 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…bdf2backed Yes | 69c | 6,105$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 5,030$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.93 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 6c | 4,876$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.1 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed No | 50c | 4,689$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +106%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 4,650$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.16 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 49c | 3,893$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.55 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 15c | 3,800$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655e…f22bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,729$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,336$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 15c | 3,133$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 71c | 2,925$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…945dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,770$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,508$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.62 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.98 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 15c | 2,499$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Yes | 74c | 2,408$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 2,401$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.8 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 75c | 2,311$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 48c | 2,114$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.06 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 71c | 2,089$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 58c | 2,080$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.2 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 73c | 2,016$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked No | 51c | 1,956$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…01cbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,920$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +193.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 70c | 1,906$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.7 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 14c | 1,903$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 15c | 1,634$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,616$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…e467backed Yes | 30c | 1,575$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 39c | 1,400$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 15c | 1,400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 15c | 1,336$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 52c | 1,329$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 5c | 1,326$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Yes | 49c | 1,257$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…b767backed Yes | 1c | 1,223$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 72c | 1,190$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,125$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…49ebbacked Yes | 14c | 1,114$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.85 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…c62fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,047$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 21c | 1,046$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 73c | 1,046$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.24 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…28b8backed Yes | 14c | 1,041$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,040$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,037$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…9848backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 24c | 987.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 62c | 957.29$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.45 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 915.8$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…9694backed Yes | 33c | 910.55$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…fb1cbacked Yes | 49c | 902.53$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked No | 50c | 893.6$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 14c | 892$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed No | 56c | 887.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.