Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38da53689b606777fc6dd1ced3b51cee8813a9e881cfe7b640d4ddcf4c2e3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Joao Fonseca, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $770,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,894 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joao Fonseca | 14c | 74,722$10,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,155.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Joao Fonseca | 13c | 36,149$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Joao Fonseca | 9c | 35,722$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.01 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Joao Fonseca | 6c | 22,650$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.6 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 10,003$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…fd4cbacked Joao Fonseca | 6c | 8,317$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 8,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Joao Fonseca | 11c | 7,932$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.56 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Joao Fonseca | 11c | 7,158$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.2 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 6,870$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.91 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Joao Fonseca | 0c | 6,808$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Joao Fonseca | 7c | 6,122$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.7 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Joao Fonseca | 1c | 6,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joao Fonseca | 13c | 5,880$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Joao Fonseca | 9c | 5,546$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.31 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Joao Fonseca | 2c | 5,059$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 4,930$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Joao Fonseca | 9c | 4,894$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…e2e0backed Joao Fonseca | 12c | 4,411$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Joao Fonseca | 17c | 4,333$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.44 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Joao Fonseca | 5c | 4,237$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Joao Fonseca | 12c | 3,267$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.75 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…e4bfbacked Joao Fonseca | 8c | 3,113$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Joao Fonseca | 10c | 2,977$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Joao Fonseca | 17c | 2,971$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…54d2backed Joao Fonseca | 7c | 2,740$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Joao Fonseca | 10c | 2,673$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joao Fonseca | 18c | 2,589$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Joao Fonseca | 9c | 2,533$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Joao Fonseca | 9c | 2,088$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…53ddbacked Joao Fonseca | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,985$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,932$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Joao Fonseca | 16c | 1,823$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Joao Fonseca | 17c | 1,692$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…0016backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,678$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Joao Fonseca | 18c | 1,659$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,652$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cfc9backed Joao Fonseca | 7c | 1,632$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,501$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…e071backed Joao Fonseca | 9c | 1,491$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Joao Fonseca | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Joao Fonseca | 9c | 1,385$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,251$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Joao Fonseca | 2c | 1,224$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Joao Fonseca | 9c | 1,178$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Joao Fonseca | 11c | 1,175$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Joao Fonseca | 4c | 1,130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…6940backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,121$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…69d9backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,010$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…2215backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…6394backed Joao Fonseca | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Joao Fonseca | 7c | 999.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Joao Fonseca | 11c | 994.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Joao Fonseca | 7c | 876.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Joao Fonseca | 11c | 850$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…1cd1backed Joao Fonseca | 12c | 846.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Joao Fonseca | 15c | 841$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Joao Fonseca | 15c | 830$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Joao Fonseca | 8c | 751.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a4…434dbacked Joao Fonseca | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joao Fonseca | 12c | 749.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 734$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Joao Fonseca | 15c | 720$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Joao Fonseca | 7c | 720$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed Joao Fonseca | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Joao Fonseca | 9c | 712.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Joao Fonseca | 8c | 686.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Joao Fonseca | 11c | 668.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Joao Fonseca | 11c | 661.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…ae63backed Joao Fonseca | 16c | 611.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Joao Fonseca | 8c | 606.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Joao Fonseca | 9c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…e0a7backed Joao Fonseca | 5c | 585.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Joao Fonseca | 11c | 579.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…8da6backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 506.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…e138backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 505$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Joao Fonseca | 5c | 501.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 500.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…66b1backed Joao Fonseca | 11c | 500.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Joao Fonseca | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Joao Fonseca | 12c | 495.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…6dd8backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 491.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…fd73backed Joao Fonseca | 13c | 475.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…502fbacked Joao Fonseca | 7c | 473.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Joao Fonseca | 15c | 467$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Joao Fonseca | 15c | 466.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Joao Fonseca | 9c | 458.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb1…5e96backed Joao Fonseca | 11c | 455.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Joao Fonseca | 11c | 455.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cd…4b4bbacked Joao Fonseca | 11c | 440.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Joao Fonseca | 10c | 411.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Fonseca vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Joao Fonseca vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.