NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08de68099932661bedfdbb30382afcbcfc2656d5dec6125ccfa9a870219aae77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Maple Leafs, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $923,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 126,689$59,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,543.13 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Devils | 53c | 85,288$45,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,085.43 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 30,400$13,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,987.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Devils | 53c | 29,394$15,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,815.18 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 29,000$13,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,920 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 24,513$11,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,521.1 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Devils | 54c | 20,346$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,345.53 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Devils | 54c | 14,671$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,748.43 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Devils | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.86 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 9,496$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Devils | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 9,111$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.31 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 52c | 8,718$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.03 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…9754backed Devils | 53c | 8,333$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Devils | 52c | 8,068$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.81 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Devils | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Devils | 52c | 7,981$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Devils | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Devils | 54c | 6,079$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.62 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Devils | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Devils | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.98 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,718$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.93 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 5,463$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.76 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils | 53c | 5,409$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.35 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Devils | 55c | 5,088$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.61 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Devils | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 4,994$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Devils | 53c | 4,535$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.24 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.08 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Devils | 64c | 4,318$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.45 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 3,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Devils | 53c | 3,705$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.46 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Devils | 55c | 3,658$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.81 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Devils | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.95 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 2,879$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Devils | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.77 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Devils | 54c | 2,740$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,708$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Devils | 54c | 2,689$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.02 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Devils | 59c | 2,502$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.54 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,423$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.26 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…f742backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,354$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Devils | 52c | 2,285$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.62 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,208$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7d…eedebacked Devils | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,023$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.05 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Devils | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…cb5cbacked Devils | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…1d28backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Devils | 56c | 1,994$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.15 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…6bb8backed Devils | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe5…994abacked Devils | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2e…cf1bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…2eacbacked Devils | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…e57ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…1993backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…bacbbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c6…8087backed Devils | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…515bbacked Devils | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…7d62backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,985$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaccc…fcf6backed Devils | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…a5b7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…4c03backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…f6e4backed Devils | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…33a4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,970$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x808e…7592backed Devils | 52c | 1,970$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…f8ddbacked Devils | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…97d2backed Devils | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…d683backed Devils | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…246cbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,965$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…2e29backed Devils | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e4…9714backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,965$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…6696backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,965$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…f70abacked Devils | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…b9b7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,965$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x992d…51c6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,965$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…19d5backed Devils | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…0324backed Devils | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…71aebacked Devils | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…d3ddbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…dc4dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…fcf9backed Devils | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…eed3backed Devils | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…175fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c0cdbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…5bc1backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…a5eabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,955$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…4f0abacked Devils | 52c | 1,955$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…340bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,945$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3b93backed Devils | 52c | 1,945$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…6a73backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,945$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…1cf9backed Devils | 52c | 1,945$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…b718backed Devils | 52c | 1,940$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Devilsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.