NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d23ab4de5b97a01043e61b11f1b4612bb8b48d7faa57c953a21fcc23b37dfb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 80c | 1,243$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 897.63$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 20c | 507.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 24c | 406.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 48c | 387.67$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.59 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 53c | 377.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 52c | 344.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 311.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 47c | 291.1$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…1dfabacked Over | 52c | 271.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…a03fbacked Over | 53c | 267.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3059…ff57backed Under | 49c | 266.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…806cbacked Under | 49c | 261.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 234.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 218.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 192.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 21c | 183.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 145.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 143.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 53c | 126.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 78c | 120.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…6191backed Over | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 53c | 102.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…50cabacked Over | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a3a7backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 90.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 47c | 89.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 72.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 69.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 52c | 64.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 49c | 61.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Over | 53c | 58.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 48c | 58.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 48c | 57.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 52c | 56.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 48c | 55.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 47c | 50.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…dd23backed Over | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 52c | 47.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 46.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…28d1backed Over | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…d404backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…7e2cbacked Over | 53c | 36.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc215…c9bcbacked Over | 53c | 34.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 77c | 29.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cf…91dbbacked Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…53d7backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 48c | 26.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 45c | 26.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 48c | 25.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 59c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…ac19backed Over | 52c | 22.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 57c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5this page
- Pacers vs. NetsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 209.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-23.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.