TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets50c74,311$37,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,229.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2023…e84abacked Pacers50c15,648$7,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,855.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets51c14,764$7,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,511.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers48c11,810$5,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,141.111,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Pacers50c11,612$5,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8063941%16 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers49c10,678$5,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,445.751,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…69acbacked Pacers51c9,248$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Pacers48c8,857$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,605.8232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Pacers51c8,419$4,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.545947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce86…c4a8backed Pacers51c7,702$3,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Nets51c6,346$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.0757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Nets51c6,000$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Pacers51c5,646$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.3114441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers48c5,430$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Pacers49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.586240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets50c3,630$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Pacers48c3,595$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.4415952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Pacers49c3,363$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.2412151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers68c2,554$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.182,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nets50c2,549$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers49c2,125$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.6370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pacers49c2,058$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.3317356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pacers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2148…ae1dbacked Pacers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Pacers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00014946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2912…444bbacked Pacers49c1,882$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Nets49c1,812$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.771723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Nets49c1,598$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.033455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x714c…d0b8backed Pacers50c1,354$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Nets51c1,346$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.4556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Pacers49c1,150$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.3916946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Pacers49c1,115$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.6517850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Pacers50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Nets49c1,098$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.041936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Pacers49c1,039$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9919745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Pacers48c997.18$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.8931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Pacers50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4857447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers49c936.98$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.834,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Pacers50c806.81$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.418652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Pacers49c802.62$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.343956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Pacers49c791.35$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.595354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef8f…fa57backed Nets52c653.69$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe164…60b9backed Pacers49c652.86$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.962934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Pacers48c650$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.521653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Pacers48c617.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.357143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Pacers49c562$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6220051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f73…6d1cbacked Pacers52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Nets52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3614450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7084…0ae5backed Nets52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Nets51c548.1$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.1129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nets51c543.75$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nets51c543.75$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.931,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Nets47c514.18$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.228949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pacers48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Nets52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Nets51c450$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.751,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe950…1e0abacked Pacers49c425.56$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Pacers48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20868944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets51c389.44$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.611,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Pacers51c388.22$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2310252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Nets53c375.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2211833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Nets52c373.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2476250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Nets52c345.51$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6712857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets51c297.14$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.542,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Pacers49c290.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3221139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…f1ecbacked Pacers51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.883354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4b…cc06backed Pacers51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.881650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Pacers57c284.47$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc33…3127backed Nets52c280.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.681566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Pacers51c272.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.643151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Pacers51c266.42$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5522047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Nets49c257.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets48c240.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.671,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nets51c210.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Nets49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Pacers49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.936248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Nets51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Nets50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9714046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Pacers50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Pacers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Pacers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2511648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Nets51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0629345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Pacers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Pacers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2513153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pacers51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2551647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Nets52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1215352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Nets52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1214640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Nets52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1223650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8af4backed Nets52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.123732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2df…e521backed Pacers51c179.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52a5…750dbacked Nets52c175.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Pacers51c171.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Pacers51c169.38$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8324849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Pacers51c160.29$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7538947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c47…da33backed Nets52c155.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa02…8094backed Pacers50c149.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.691471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Pacers49c147.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3135744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.