TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets47c6,095$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.191,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Nets47c6,000$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.9857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers53c3,944$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Pacers53c3,900$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.9949938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers59c3,128$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.313,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets8c2,461$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Nets46c2,110$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.5621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets47c2,003$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Pacers53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.7834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers53c1,582$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets47c1,537$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Nets46c1,341$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.6914338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Nets46c1,111$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.0522041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Nets49c1,108$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.164544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Pacers54c1,080$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4974348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Nets46c808.94$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.1144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets47c764.72$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.421,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers53c683.32$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.584,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pacers53c544.8$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.931,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers53c535.51$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c87…967abacked Nets48c422.35$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pacers56c416.54$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.411,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers57c415.29$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.131,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Pacers57c410.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pacers57c409.91$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699d…0501backed Nets45c389.56$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pacers54c363.67$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.41,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Pacers53c339.62$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40b…5975backed Nets50c298.76$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9f45backed Pacers54c298.53$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b56…ea73backed Nets47c296.27$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ff…3315backed Pacers51c296.03$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5e…1406backed Nets47c292.4$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…78a1backed Pacers54c291.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Pacers54c270.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.255347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Pacers54c270.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.253647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers54c264.49$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.672,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Pacers54c202.58$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.196947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Pacers52c188.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.088762.1%54 W · 33 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pacers53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Pacers54c181.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.619045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pacers54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Pacers54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Pacers54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8338152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Pacers54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Pacers74c177.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pacers73c172.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Pacers54c161.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Pacers52c147.07$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.515964.4%38 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Pacers54c144.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.271957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Pacers52c130.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8516053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Pacers53c130.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Nets47c113.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nets53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Pacers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4853339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Pacers52c99.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.987844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Pacers54c99.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6335546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pacers58c99.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Pacers58c99.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6144347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pacers58c99.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pacers58c99.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pacers58c98.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Pacers59c97.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nets32c94.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.411,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers52c92.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee1d…ccc9backed Pacers54c91.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.391850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Pacers54c88.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8723549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Nets47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Pacers54c75.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9510447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Pacers54c72.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.131741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Pacers54c69.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.939154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Pacers57c68.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.436852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Pacers58c65.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5637853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pacers54c60.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets46c60.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pacers52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Pacers55c58.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2720558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Pacers54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8525360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Pacers52c50.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2417637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Pacers54c48.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3754951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Pacers58c39.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Nets51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.416544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Pacers57c36.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7310345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Pacers54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5713852.2%72 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Pacers54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.574841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Nets45c31.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9910034%34 W · 66 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Pacers53c31.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6523143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Nets47c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0334641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Nets45c29.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3411232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Pacers51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9921649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Pacers54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.438252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Pacers53c25.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0625150.6%127 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Pacers71c24.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0721354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Pacers72c24.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.894953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9c5…87bdbacked Nets48c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Pacers53c22.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4618548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers49c20.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers58c19.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.