TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,868 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4236…7c19backed Yes2c6,366$100 inLost-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…8e82backed Yes4c5,470$239 inLost-$238.952347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,020$42 inLost-$42.385679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes3c1,654$51 inLost-$50.85930.5%18 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Yes7c1,014$72 inLost-$72.382030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736c…7470backed Yes5c1,012$50 inLost-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Yes5c738.63$40 inLost-$39.898950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b44…5effbacked Yes8c654.66$50 inLost-$49.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Yes6c548.98$35 inLost-$34.687339.7%29 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22a0…2916backed Yes6c300$18 inLost-$185642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf811…69babacked Yes9c226.7$20 inLost-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.