TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,093,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,029,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,093,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No46c103,415$47,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,271.5221853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No25c85,172$21,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,518.156,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No45c50,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,499.9918950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No47c48,414$22,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,795.6114450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No44c45,597$20,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,527.0624846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No45c40,180$18,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,099.0715344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c35,546$19,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,364.231,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No46c32,610$15,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,483.4430851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes54c31,158$16,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,812.66445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No50c29,620$14,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,761.2829253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No48c29,575$14,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,378.916046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Yes55c27,300$15,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,015862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes53c24,999$13,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,249.6431947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No46c24,000$11,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,96015949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c21,251$11,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,274.351,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No8c20,772$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,061.686650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40021154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.997147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No45c18,057$8,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,850.562839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No19c17,259$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,008.410042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes53c15,907$8,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,468.618948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No27c14,343$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,522.561,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No45c13,700$6,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,534.913644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Yes52c12,290$6,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,430837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes50c11,300$5,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6049646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c11,179$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,604.822,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes55c10,905$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9989636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes55c10,815$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0004134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes55c10,069$5,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,537.682445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3207448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes54c7,433$4,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,01410737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c7,308$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.222,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No50c5,585$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.713829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes53c5,500$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,93520646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c5,160$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.684,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No47c5,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,66018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes46c4,594$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.146357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c4,079$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.0331944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes55c3,973$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.354748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes56c3,916$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.975446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes73c3,823$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.841,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No7c3,781$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.56746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes52c3,500$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80725836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes50c3,477$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.373250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes77c3,421$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.051,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes50c3,386$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.183647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes47c3,064$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.1529044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes41c2,770$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.0611349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No33c2,656$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.0940150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Yes53c2,562$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf73d…8ef8backed Yes56c2,535$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3007357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5945…67cabacked Yes56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.934862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No53c2,462$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.5421965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes54c2,407$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No46c2,277$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.235431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes53c2,234$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.843633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6624047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08020750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf07f…8a62backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9806857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes51c1,975$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0079446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.9110768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…45f4backed Yes51c1,921$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.02850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No47c1,915$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.899250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes52c1,906$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes54c1,874$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0121457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Yes54c1,865$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.32552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No8c1,814$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.8813832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x917c…6b38backed No48c1,810$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9136…8e9dbacked Yes52c1,769$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No28c1,622$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.8342043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes54c1,516$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.912055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes56c1,513$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.055745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e82…c878backed Yes54c1,502$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.691926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7808740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes55c1,448$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes52c1,410$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.6430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed No8c1,403$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+190.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3006…08b9backed Yes52c1,351$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No10c1,351$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.64035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No46c1,331$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.611162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes52c1,331$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.018343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed No44c1,256$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes38c1,211$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.567048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No47c1,188$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.8417837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes53c1,120$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.342853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No27c1,103$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.4256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.