TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d16…d24dbacked No78c49,352$38,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,610.865556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No79c32,094$25,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,739.757147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes21c16,166$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4005536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Yes23c14,305$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.261040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c13,876$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.36,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes21c12,698$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.5215344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes24c12,594$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.512846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes21c9,524$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c9,304$7,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.542,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c9,009$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.381,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes23c7,711$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.3122125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No77c6,766$5,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.1230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No77c5,748$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.3918259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No76c4,903$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.324146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes22c4,823$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.1517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No79c4,557$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.0156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c4,211$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.131,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes6c4,000$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No79c3,684$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.6410849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c3,050$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes7c2,981$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No78c2,700$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.1329253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes24c2,585$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.7911945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No79c2,192$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes11c2,157$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.311,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes15c1,991$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.711,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes5c1,925$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7315238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No77c1,495$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.91,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes20c1,421$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.213727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa13…f778backed No76c1,225$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2037backed Yes25c1,213$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes17c1,200$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9912642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes4c1,141$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.143164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+79.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x53c4…1ad2backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+81.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd774…cb8abacked No77c975$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x922d…ec32backed Yes23c900$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8887…4bdebacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003056.7%17 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes4c819.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.762425%6 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc12a…786dbacked No78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3375…ca69backed Yes2c769$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes25c738.12$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.533727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x546d…b6f4backed Yes5c679.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…89e9backed Yes24c623$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.521030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25a1…f2fdbacked Yes24c602$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Yes6c591.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.444045%18 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes2c590$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115614.3%8 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f2…876dbacked Yes23c584.93$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.531060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes23c565.22$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No78c544.87$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Yes20c535.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.151936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…4526backed Yes10c525.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+348.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes23c524.73$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2123741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes2c516.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11511162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9d3…f492backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c496$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.161,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe633…3a32backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes21c450.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.620027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes24c442.4$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.188632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-64.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf2…76f0backed No77c406$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.38757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes26c404.1$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes22c399.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9917337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8c…35b9backed Yes22c398.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38f…daaebacked Yes26c396.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked No78c384$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.487963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No78c373.35$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.147869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No78c368.48$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6830739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No77c364.06$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.925276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes23c361$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0318551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes5c351.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…a4eebacked Yes21c340.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No78c333$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.264860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6341…227bbacked No76c329.97$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes20c319.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3825532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c319$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes8c304.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Yes22c300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…ed67backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7a…abb2backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Yes17c295.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes11c287.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c250.49$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.221,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Yes15c250$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011444.7%51 W · 63 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No79c244.34$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4940150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.