TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c13,142$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,801.736,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fe3…5470backed Yes53c6,027$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,827.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c4,979$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.512,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked No1c4,685$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.854914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c4,396$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.321,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No48c3,293$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.2718259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2518…45f4backed Yes52c3,264$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes56c3,124$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.8919652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes12c2,642$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.841,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c2,073$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.921,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No75c2,054$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.542763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes23c1,359$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.3560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked No77c1,340$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.865058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed No72c1,210$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.572850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No64c1,200$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.1728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No40c1,183$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes50c1,151$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.2529253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No71c1,056$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.7441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9437…e28cbacked Yes53c1,017$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76014147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes5c1,000$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9558229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502544%11 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Yes24c999.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.991050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+96.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No76c977.58$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.964955.1%27 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes20c926.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.0840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes12c840$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.552661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c756.54$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.8490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.741442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Yes25c700$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes25c684.38$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.294353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c619$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.521,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes12c600$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5282445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No71c598.83$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.647176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked No76c593.34$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.941764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b1…6695backed Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes25c496.09$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.411,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No39c429.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked No74c405.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.026262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…a4eebacked Yes25c405.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes26c388.15$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2311446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes78c384$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9461441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No45c371.67$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9630739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes51c363.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1721965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes3c323.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.471127.3%3 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick9cpaid+252.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.513842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.54639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes13c299.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2623435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed No68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes6c283$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.85545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c250$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No74c235.14$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17418562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes14c233.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.824,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6024…d4f0backed Yes4c232.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+176.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes70c231$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1717744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9821…f62ebacked Yes9c225$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17211142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+206.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked No13c199.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes23c199.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9937342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes25c197.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.581050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No77c185.04$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4825551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c159$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.251,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No80c153.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.54658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa478…d961backed Yes34c144.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8616160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes52c125.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.943663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010342.7%44 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7610341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+124.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8911420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Yes24c95.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.832475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c84…2c7ebacked Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.912853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No68c83.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6718251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes24c83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0854128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes13c80$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.67440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+54.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes14c78.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.575525.5%14 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No76c78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2859958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b3f…fe51backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2522764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c66.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.871,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes25c64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.67557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes24c58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.085230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.