TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Team Vitality, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Natus Vincere55c11,424$6,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,185.863740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Vitality36c9,997$3,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,556.981,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Team Vitality48c6,958$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.886248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere71c6,936$4,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.511,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Team Vitality2c6,700$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ca…cebbbacked Natus Vincere41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8f…70eabacked Team Vitality41c4,360$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3912…0246backed Natus Vincere59c4,360$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Vitality42c4,196$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.3685046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Team Vitality47c4,157$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.5521740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Team Vitality0c4,131$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Team Vitality50c3,778$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.9741644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Natus Vincere43c3,682$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.973638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Team Vitality59c3,600$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.017852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8397…231fbacked Team Vitality3c3,064$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Team Vitality57c2,892$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.6343539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Team Vitality43c2,600$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.1342050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Natus Vincere77c2,404$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.586139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere80c2,351$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.6448157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Natus Vincere51c2,039$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.5526246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Vitality13c2,016$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2885442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Team Vitality2c2,008$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7145618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3806…f4c4backed Team Vitality1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111276.3%8 W · 119 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x794e…4247backed Team Vitality2c1,930$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9750%0 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Vitality2c1,901$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.047869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Vitality49c1,882$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.1313453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere68c1,783$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.0369756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Team Vitality58c1,600$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.9717839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Team Vitality3c1,531$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.025743.9%25 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Team Vitality59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8854748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Natus Vincere42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9877131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Vitality28c1,472$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.611,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Natus Vincere53c1,382$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.6784041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Natus Vincere41c1,281$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.612259%72 W · 50 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere43c1,255$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.551,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Vitality57c1,179$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.0327636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Team Vitality50c1,177$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58412338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Natus Vincere50c1,148$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57426245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Vitality26c1,126$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.781,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed Team Vitality39c1,070$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.25240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Natus Vincere48c1,029$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.9915536.8%57 W · 98 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Vitality33c1,020$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.341,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32d5…59cebacked Team Vitality1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Team Vitality50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Team Vitality53c999.99$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52851160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6478…548fbacked Natus Vincere70c955.18$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00df…0d23backed Natus Vincere63c952.82$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.829852%51 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Team Vitality59c946.33$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56092342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Team Vitality5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Vitality50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45050547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Team Vitality17c882$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9423915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Team Vitality53c867.11$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.262445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Natus Vincere65c863.19$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Team Vitality42c799.99$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33344751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere45c776.85$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5543640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Vitality9c767$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.133251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere41c755$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4519146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere42c753.12$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.9746033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere68c734.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6150242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Team Vitality59c716.47$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7215953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality57c703.03$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.361,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere51c699.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34342148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Vitality20c698.3$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.711,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team Vitality50c696.32$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.543151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ec…f7e3backed Team Vitality30c672.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere71c641.98$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1746153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Natus Vincere48c628.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.8735035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere50c627.54$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8169041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Vitality58c600$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34657945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Vitality44c599.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26650643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Natus Vincere70c591$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.318741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bd…7cfebacked Natus Vincere43c564.24$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.182445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+85.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere49c531.13$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8876953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere72c520.56$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9844843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Vitality55c509.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4940347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180f…3cabbacked Team Vitality2c504.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Vitality57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Natus Vincere69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15548652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bb…7148backed Natus Vincere73c492.74$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.748757.5%50 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Team Vitality59c491.53$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29015756.7%89 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Natus Vincere43c463.48$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8217241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Natus Vincere42c460$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.816842.9%72 W · 96 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Team Vitality40c450$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8221857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Team Vitality29c430$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7844738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Team Vitality34c422.61$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0125639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Team Vitality6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244814.6%7 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Team Vitality54c399.94$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.177735.1%27 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed Team Vitality26c391.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.186743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa271…a781backed Natus Vincere64c390.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.977447.3%35 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc56…cccebacked Natus Vincere48c386$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.763360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a8…68ebbacked Natus Vincere42c380.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.953930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Vitality17c379.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2520550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked Natus Vincere54c373.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5814751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3af…aca1backed Natus Vincere48c368.87$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1912948.8%63 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Natus Vincere54c354.63$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.639238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere43c351.14$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6448742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1e…f6a4backed Natus Vincere57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.884652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Team Vitality51c350.58$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806352.4%33 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere54c343.11$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3554054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.