TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c31,628$16,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,667.034,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8c…ef5dbacked Over48c9,515$4,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,572.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over36c8,598$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.352227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c2,565$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.882,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over60c2,546$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.63345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c2,273$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.393,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under31c2,117$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.665735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over31c1,999$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over54c1,608$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over69c1,509$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0412560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c1,349$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.611,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over37c999.89$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.962142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over69c999.76$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.836546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over32c999.41$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+91%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over33c866.85$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.062055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20fa…5ed9backed Over69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c660.87$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45612875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under57c638.75$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.075152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under26c615.79$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under30c598.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.8510245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over69c581.49$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c574.18$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over39c513.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over60c499.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.983040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under39c485.86$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.281850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over30c457.42$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over20c432.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Over47c425.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29231745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over67c373.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under29c366.63$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1721626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under32c336.46$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.815832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over17c326.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.112917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over63c317.19$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Over60c312.4$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over40c306.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3510039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Over67c303.03$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Under33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over66c294.62$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.452445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over72c278$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.162661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over70c251.42$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.996756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over72c232.5$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1673850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over71c199.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9942458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under54c199.34$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3416446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over65c194.83$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c183.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.131,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c172.73$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.051,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over46c171.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.672236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over41c170.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over70c167.48$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11822366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over19c167.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over70c156.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.592846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba77…da86backed Over70c155.44$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Under50c152.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671e…7d17backed Over69c140.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.821070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over69c139.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c139.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7342158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Over72c139.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over38c131.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.626237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over39c129.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Over39c129.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under53c126.23$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.953246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b00…cfbdbacked Under40c121.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over69c120$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe681…6e1ebacked Over37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over38c118.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over69c114.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.939966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over38c113.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over71c112.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…a151backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under65c96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.713040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over19c86.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4911855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked Under29c86.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over55c80.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb571…effdbacked Over70c71.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c69.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over26c69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Over69c68.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over72c67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Over68c62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e39…ec6bbacked Over36c57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over73c56.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9620452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Over63c55.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over37c53.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Over38c53.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…84babacked Under64c52.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.