TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3102…187cbacked Under60c6,727$4,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.116944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0007424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c4,767$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.264,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c3,452$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.452,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over41c3,000$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2152560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over43c1,999$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.571225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over40c1,770$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.615151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over20c1,006$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.564233.3%14 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c848.84$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over42c809.52$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over42c738$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.966546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over42c720.46$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2915851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under73c589.89$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.523,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over21c582.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over40c562.63$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.055735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over43c497.95$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.128236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over46c435$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.12661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over11c375$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1620945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over40c363.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.394847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under58c362.51$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.175832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14734252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under58c323.75$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.723452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under67c300.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.373050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12311947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over18c293.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.613246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under58c286.74$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.437156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under55c280.02$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.297250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over41c269$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.798241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over39c258.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Over40c254.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.796033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under59c245.68$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over43c234.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over18c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.54062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over32c188.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3f…1400backed Over43c150.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Over34c145.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9224546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Over45c139.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2821355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over40c138.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5622553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under59c135$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over40c134.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.713263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over32c131.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9810039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.415250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over21c96.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over43c85.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6221626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over27c83.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.426237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over41c80.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.22035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over42c71.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…16e0backed Over42c69.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over39c66.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over41c61.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under55c60.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2420452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c56.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over40c50.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Under77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over32c48.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5517036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under60c45.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Over42c40.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Over41c34.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.011,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c5…deeebacked Under62c33.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+72.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb11a…023cbacked Over37c32.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under67c31.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.525752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b8…13a3backed Over41c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over34c30.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4711855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d1…3a4abacked Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.158751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8871…5163backed Over40c29.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0688…5f56backed Over41c29.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over41c27.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3230749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over40c27.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8432145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff2e…1006backed Over42c26.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over42c24.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.158354.2%45 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over42c23.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0819646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Under60c22.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.252466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Under74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Under73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.