Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4a369c792f679c5f902a625cafea004ae59d13b864706323a2269a604886420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 10,005$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed G2 Esports | 79c | 8,531$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.63 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 5,770$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 5,665$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.23 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 3,152$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.73 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,678$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.36 | 1,375 | 39%536 W · 839 L | -59.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 1,657$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.01 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked G2 Esports | 76c | 1,607$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.26 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed G2 Esports | 71c | 1,279$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.12 | 257 | 46.7%120 W · 137 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked G2 Esports | 68c | 1,133$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed G2 Esports | 73c | 1,119$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 291 | 40.9%119 W · 172 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 960.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 229 | 17.5%40 W · 189 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed G2 Esports | 66c | 720.58$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.37 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed G2 Esports | 76c | 686.37$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.83 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked G2 Esports | 65c | 675.43$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 666.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 643.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 42%167 W · 231 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 625.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 300 | 33%99 W · 201 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 615.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 595.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 541.02$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked G2 Esports | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 476.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed G2 Esports | 71c | 444.23$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…5f54backed G2 Esports | 65c | 334.74$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 327.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 320.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 309.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…42b4backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 250.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…1bb1backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 227.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…780abacked 100 Thieves | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 100 Thieves | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…e7a5backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…3840backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked G2 Esports | 62c | 164.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed G2 Esports | 63c | 154.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bf…e852backed G2 Esports | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked G2 Esports | 73c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked G2 Esports | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked 100 Thieves | 20c | 104.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed G2 Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 227 | 55.5%126 W · 101 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…ca9fbacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed G2 Esports | 72c | 86.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports | 62c | 80.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 78.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 74.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 68.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked G2 Esports | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed G2 Esports | 80c | 61.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 60.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed G2 Esports | 75c | 55.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed G2 Esports | 73c | 53.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed G2 Esports | 77c | 49.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 45.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…d623backed G2 Esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…f36fbacked G2 Esports | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed G2 Esports | 71c | 26.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed G2 Esports | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed G2 Esports | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…7ebdbacked G2 Esports | 71c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed G2 Esports | 71c | 21.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…afc8backed G2 Esports | 75c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.