Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4eca3549c718284c37a36a0e0b5332af05cd5cc7f75bf48dec3bc250e2f8d5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 2,174$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.69 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed G2 Esports | 70c | 1,314$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.5 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed G2 Esports | 74c | 1,058$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 937.32$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.76 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 908.33$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.41 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 561.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…bea6backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 324.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed G2 Esports | 75c | 323.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked G2 Esports | 46c | 217.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 192.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked G2 Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed G2 Esports | 76c | 96.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…d0bcbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 89.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01cf…a424backed G2 Esports | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed G2 Esports | 75c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.