TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corp Blueof Los Ratones, Karmine Corp Blue
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$494,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$567,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x671f…328cbacked Karmine Corp Blue43c136,645$58,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,863.966040%24 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Ratones57c37,897$21,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,605.985046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Karmine Corp Blue47c23,037$10,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,194.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Los Ratones26c21,287$5,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,619.811,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Los Ratones57c18,948$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8007345.2%33 W · 40 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Los Ratones27c15,581$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,250.271,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Los Ratones38c10,251$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,844.381,47648.3%713 W · 763 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec81…988ebacked Los Ratones59c10,205$6,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,038333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Los Ratones54c10,000$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,392.2613453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Los Ratones38c8,075$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.2431644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed Los Ratones59c6,729$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.954746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Los Ratones57c6,647$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.1548742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Los Ratones58c6,352$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.8441644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked Los Ratones58c6,204$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,604.0110133.7%34 W · 67 L-11.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Los Ratones49c6,104$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.426248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Los Ratones56c5,875$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.965556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Los Ratones1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.772844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp Blue50c5,235$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.431,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ca…cebbbacked Karmine Corp Blue43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Los Ratones58c4,948$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.7321137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Los Ratones56c4,684$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Los Ratones56c4,342$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.934936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Karmine Corp Blue40c4,286$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.5512759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Los Ratones60c4,252$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.2692450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Los Ratones33c3,709$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.842050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed Karmine Corp Blue42c3,631$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.7748035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Los Ratones57c3,599$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.463638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4a1…8f8dbacked Karmine Corp Blue40c3,186$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.054143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Karmine Corp Blue48c3,080$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.1618961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Los Ratones53c3,014$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.8482352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9755…eab0backed Karmine Corp Blue44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6804753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Karmine Corp Blue42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.927852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Los Ratones40c2,928$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.1985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Los Ratones58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+60.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Karmine Corp Blue43c2,563$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.911,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Karmine Corp Blue43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4254748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Karmine Corp Blue47c2,215$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.5515536.8%57 W · 98 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00df…0d23backed Los Ratones58c2,214$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.129852%51 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Los Ratones59c2,210$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.611,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Los Ratones57c2,095$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.134055%22 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Karmine Corp Blue44c2,000$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.551,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Los Ratones57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Los Ratones59c1,961$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1573850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Los Ratones54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99945041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Los Ratones57c1,847$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.840933.7%138 W · 271 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Los Ratones46c1,832$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.231,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Karmine Corp Blue40c1,760$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.434651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Karmine Corp Blue40c1,700$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.1116454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Los Ratones59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Los Ratones59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00059558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Karmine Corp Blue44c1,684$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.512338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed Karmine Corp Blue44c1,591$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.755240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Los Ratones59c1,589$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.5166843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Los Ratones56c1,544$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.962445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Karmine Corp Blue40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90077131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Los Ratones58c1,458$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.898749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Los Ratones58c1,456$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2435634.8%124 W · 232 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Los Ratones50c1,450$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.1721740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Los Ratones39c1,356$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.5170443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Los Ratones58c1,346$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.5119146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Karmine Corp Blue63c1,324$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2618741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Los Ratones21c1,300$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27383941%344 W · 495 L-37.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Los Ratones62c1,267$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.3427636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Los Ratones34c1,253$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0769756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8397…231fbacked Los Ratones8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Karmine Corp Blue44c1,249$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.716462.5%40 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Los Ratones58c1,200$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.934744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7f…2658backed Los Ratones21c1,150$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.492070%14 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Karmine Corp Blue64c1,029$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.4735850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Los Ratones32c1,023$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8450643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Los Ratones58c1,020$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2617839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Karmine Corp Blue54c1,009$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.777247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Karmine Corp Blue41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59012042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Los Ratones58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Los Ratones56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Los Ratones20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060445.4%274 W · 330 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Los Ratones56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9912839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Los Ratones20c982.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb3…8689backed Karmine Corp Blue72c965.31$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.826361.9%39 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Los Ratones26c965.28$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0269041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Los Ratones17c949.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9833251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Ratones57c899.68$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.661,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Los Ratones53c850$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.550547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Karmine Corp Blue56c848.21$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.9913544.4%60 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Karmine Corp Blue42c845.24$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2418744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Los Ratones55c835$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.5351160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Karmine Corp Blue44c818.41$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Los Ratones32c783.55$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Los Ratones49c775.21$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.61,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Los Ratones58c744.33$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.026952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Los Ratones28c710$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8721857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Karmine Corp Blue46c656.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7235035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x634f…8295backed Los Ratones36c649.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Karmine Corp Blue70c639.48$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.756352.4%33 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Los Ratones20c638.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.779420.2%19 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Los Ratones16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp Blue40c600$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.831,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp Blue41c600$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Los Ratones52c599.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Los Ratones52c599.92$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9642148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.