Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48be4e9c724a6d900165f2554af1a0b11b0b6c3c6632caa881bd7a64166cb0db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Indiana Hoosiers, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan State Spartans | 74c | 4,353$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.61 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 4,112$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.28 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 2,942$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 2,787$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.67 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Indiana Hoosiers | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 1,782$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.87 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 1,603$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.21 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 27c | 1,542$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan State Spartans | 70c | 1,386$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.25 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Michigan State Spartans | 73c | 1,340$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 1,329$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.54 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 1,200$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Michigan State Spartans | 73c | 1,053$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.31 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 1,044$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.02 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 73c | 1,032$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 37c | 1,019$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 7c | 998.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 21c | 942.86$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 770$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Indiana Hoosiers | 34c | 752.09$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 34c | 751.09$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 23c | 712.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 27c | 672.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…fa47backed Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 670.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +167%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 27c | 525.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 473.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Indiana Hoosiers | 24c | 462.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 455.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Indiana Hoosiers | 23c | 292.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 22c | 283.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 279.81$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Indiana Hoosiers | 44c | 277$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 258.66$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 32c | 246.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 35c | 244.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 20c | 237.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan State Spartans | 71c | 208.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 33c | 206.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Indiana Hoosiers | 27c | 199.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 197.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 38c | 191.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 191.71$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b5…69f8backed Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 158.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…4511backed Michigan State Spartans | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 148.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 143.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Michigan State Spartans | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 28c | 129.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…bd1fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 37c | 115.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 33c | 115.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 107.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Indiana Hoosiers | 24c | 101.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 95.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Indiana Hoosiers | 29c | 87.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Michigan State Spartans | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Indiana Hoosiers | 30c | 84.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…8685backed Indiana Hoosiers | 28c | 81.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 15c | 68.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…1baebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 64.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Indiana Hoosiers | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Indiana Hoosiers | 42c | 60.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 39c | 53.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 73c | 52.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Indiana Hoosiers | 26c | 51.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Indiana Hoosiers | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…eb47backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…bed3backed Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…c578backed Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.