CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97f3c7e4e7917007fa731b6bf601e222a5265ac27ad2b98bbcd72126e4c6e22

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, MASONIC
Resolved: Jan 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9cb4…8285backed Eternal Fire	61c	5,569$3,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.71	207	56%116 W · 91 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed MASONIC	8c	2,393$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	124	50%62 W · 62 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC	30c	1,877$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.7	3,256	50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L	+97.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed MASONIC	39c	1,200$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.3	972	30%292 W · 680 L	-23.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked MASONIC	38c	844.95$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.14	144	41.7%60 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3101…b9c6backed Eternal Fire	54c	751.16$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.75	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked MASONIC	38c	699.99$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	286	44.1%126 W · 160 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Eternal Fire	62c	645.16$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.16	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked MASONIC	38c	497.37$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed MASONIC	2c	493.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC	38c	444.44$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.89	5,810	37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L	+78.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b80…b3b2backed MASONIC	6c	432.15$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked MASONIC	30c	429.99$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.9	362	45.3%164 W · 198 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed MASONIC	46c	383.01$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.03	317	35.6%113 W · 204 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MASONIC	38c	358.57$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.26	1,262	46.9%592 W · 670 L	-34.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked MASONIC	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC	6c	324.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Eternal Fire	62c	320.14$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.35	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+8.6wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed MASONIC	38c	310$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.8	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Eternal Fire	61c	280.08$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.44	979	52.4%513 W · 466 L	+26.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed MASONIC	37c	280$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.6	328	44.5%146 W · 182 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed MASONIC	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed MASONIC	40c	245.06$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	834	43.6%364 W · 470 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MASONIC	38c	243$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.34	967	40.7%394 W · 573 L	+12.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked MASONIC	38c	243$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.34	409	50.6%207 W · 202 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed MASONIC	9c	208$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	202	43.6%88 W · 114 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed MASONIC	10c	205.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MASONIC	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed MASONIC	38c	179.37$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.37	540	32.4%175 W · 365 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked MASONIC	6c	177.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Eternal Fire	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Eternal Fire	62c	161$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.18	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed Eternal Fire	57c	156.25$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.19	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Eternal Fire	62c	155$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.9	164	50.6%83 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MASONIC	38c	150.81$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.98	508	33.5%170 W · 338 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked MASONIC	47c	149$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.03	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c36…2209backed MASONIC	13c	139.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Eternal Fire	62c	125$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Eternal Fire	64c	120$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe681…6e1ebacked MASONIC	17c	120$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed MASONIC	9c	115.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked MASONIC	12c	114.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed MASONIC	11c	110.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	198	43.9%87 W · 111 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Eternal Fire	59c	108.36$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.8	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked MASONIC	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.75	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Eternal Fire	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed MASONIC	38c	91.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	211	39.3%83 W · 128 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed MASONIC	43c	85.76$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Eternal Fire	53c	85$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.95	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Eternal Fire	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	581	49.2%286 W · 295 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Eternal Fire	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	988	56.1%554 W · 434 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Eternal Fire	50c	76.32$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.16	166	53%88 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Eternal Fire	63c	70$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.9	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…294abacked MASONIC	39c	69.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e2…d949backed Eternal Fire	72c	69.12$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	69cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked MASONIC	32c	67.71$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed MASONIC	39c	64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed Eternal Fire	67c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	434	42.2%183 W · 251 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed MASONIC	39c	59.49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8291backed MASONIC	41c	57.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Eternal Fire	63c	56$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.72	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed MASONIC	38c	51.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked MASONIC	36c	51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed MASONIC	36c	49.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	196	55.1%108 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed MASONIC	24c	45.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Eternal Fire	63c	42.43$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked MASONIC	37c	41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c5…deeebacked MASONIC	39c	40.82$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.28per pick	46cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked MASONIC	50c	37.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	76	25%19 W · 57 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1128…9b54backed Eternal Fire	56c	35.88$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.88	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed MASONIC	37c	30.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed MASONIC	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed MASONIC	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa28…7d27backed MASONIC	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed MASONIC	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked MASONIC	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Eternal Fire	59c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…cf91backed Eternal Fire	68c	29.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.28	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed MASONIC	38c	27$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Eternal Fire	64c	20.84$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.42	291	28.5%83 W · 208 L	-30.2wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d5e…06d2backed MASONIC	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Eternal Fire	62c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Eternal Fire	63c	18.96$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.02	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Eternal Fire	62c	17.36$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	229	31.4%72 W · 157 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire	62c	16.74$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.42	7,892	50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L	+182.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x070c…9d0cbacked Eternal Fire	67c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC (BO3)this page
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event