CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Four Magic (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f2cdf1341a151b4b7492100dc0069f05c5c964fe9bc4c01e8c93a5e722d77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Four Magicof Vasco Esports, Four Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Four Magic | 78c | 3,855$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.91 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vasco Esports | 23c | 2,395$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.1 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…7f5abacked Four Magic | 78c | 2,227$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…4735backed Four Magic | 48c | 1,338$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b5…9102backed Four Magic | 79c | 1,257$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Vasco Esports | 15c | 757.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…d50cbacked Four Magic | 51c | 740.07$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vasco Esports | 27c | 714.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…9867backed Vasco Esports | 52c | 672.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…88dfbacked Vasco Esports | 52c | 665.26$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Vasco Esports | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Vasco Esports | 43c | 505.3$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…7258backed Vasco Esports | 21c | 428.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Vasco Esports | 39c | 352.63$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…1d27backed Vasco Esports | 20c | 327.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Vasco Esports | 26c | 314.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Vasco Esports | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Vasco Esports | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Four Magic | 60c | 150.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Four Magic | 66c | 144.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Vasco Esports | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Four Magic | 41c | 126$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Vasco Esports | 53c | 126$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…4a66backed Vasco Esports | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Vasco Esports | 72c | 103.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Four Magic | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Vasco Esports | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vasco Esports | 30c | 99.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Vasco Esports | 68c | 97.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Vasco Esports | 55c | 91.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Four Magic | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…3365backed Vasco Esports | 26c | 89.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Vasco Esports | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Vasco Esports | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked Vasco Esports | 28c | 58.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Four Magic | 60c | 50.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Four Magic | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Four Magic | 45c | 35.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Four Magic | 57c | 30.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Four Magic | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed Four Magic | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Four Magic | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Vasco Esports | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Four Magic | 41c | 26.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…db6bbacked Four Magic | 75c | 25.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Vasco Esports | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Vasco Esports | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Four Magic | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Four Magic | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Four Magic | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Four Magic | 47c | 21.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…70e6backed Vasco Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Four Magic | 68c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Four Magic | 78c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Four Magic (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Four Magic - Map 1 WinnerVasco Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Four Magic - Map 2 WinnerFour Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.