Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Comesana (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f502f434f0b9e6666d82498950c9072e37f7be5ff3f5c0f70b312196bb5f06b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Comesana | 47c | 3,633$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.26 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Shelton | 53c | 2,451$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Shelton | 52c | 1,310$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Shelton | 53c | 939.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.52 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Comesana | 47c | 939.49$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.51 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…a9b4backed Comesana | 51c | 900$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Comesana | 29c | 712.05$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Comesana | 47c | 340.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Shelton | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Shelton | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Shelton | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Shelton | 53c | 161.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Shelton | 66c | 150.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked Comesana | 59c | 135.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Comesana | 28c | 112.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Shelton | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Comesana | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Shelton | 43c | 49.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…fea6backed Shelton | 53c | 43.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Shelton | 53c | 41.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Shelton | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Comesana | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Comesana (+1.5)this page
- ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco ComesanaShelton won
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs ComesanaShelton won
- Shelton vs. Comesana: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Comesana: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Comesana: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Comesana: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Comesana: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Comesana: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.