NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbddeeaf034533d04b60f139a53b64d40f57678e6b83bf8284c2b637c92bfa3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,957$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.82 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…973abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 9,700$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…1fa0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 9,700$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Cavaliers | 51c | 8,012$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 6,925$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 5,949$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.92 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 5,884$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,670$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.01 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,959$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,820$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.88 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,148$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,129$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.2 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.82 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,374$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.83 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,247$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.6 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…8a29backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Cavaliers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 736$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 634$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Timberwolves | 51c | 536.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.51 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 529.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.4 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 482$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.87 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 323.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 316.58$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 286.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 50c | 236.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 63c | 222.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 46c | 213.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Cavaliers | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 50c | 184.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803b…608abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 182.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Timberwolves | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 152.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Timberwolves | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Timberwolves | 50c | 139.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…bdc2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 137$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Timberwolves | 42c | 128.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 100.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 100.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed Timberwolves | 60c | 100.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Timberwolves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 96.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers | 49c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Cavaliers | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 79.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 270 | 34.8%94 W · 176 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 75.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Cavaliers | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Cavaliers | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Cavaliers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Timberwolves | 51c | 59.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Timberwolves | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 57.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 54.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Cavaliers | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 50.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 50.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Cavaliers | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 49.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Timberwolves | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 40.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…c0bbbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.