NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7f335f96e2c82747f7b399fac32413b050bdd67fdce4c2db5326b8f1c39c043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 85,287$44,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,821.34 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 50c | 23,084$11,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,653.04 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 10,722$5,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,318.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 52c | 8,350$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 7,416$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.72 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 4,923$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.74 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 4,919$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Over | 52c | 4,158$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.84 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 3,784$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.39 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 2,679$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.29 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 50c | 2,215$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.6 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 48c | 1,584$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.51 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,515$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 1,500$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,360$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 1,357$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.1 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 1,104$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.92 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,074$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 45c | 1,053$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.91 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…e0eebacked Over | 55c | 935.74$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.89 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 867.89$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Over | 45c | 761.13$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.62 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Under | 19c | 579.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 50c | 569$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 563.55$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 40c | 463.71$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 50c | 415.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Over | 52c | 386.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 10c | 302.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under | 51c | 263.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Under | 52c | 261.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 218.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Over | 60c | 195.08$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 53c | 192$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Over | 46c | 186.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 48c | 184.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed Under | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 176.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 60c | 174.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 50c | 166.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Under | 13c | 164.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Over | 63c | 157.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 51c | 148.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 146.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 137.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…1dd3backed Over | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d774backed Under | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 52c | 120.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 100.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…a291backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 45c | 99.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Under | 52c | 96.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 92.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed Over | 57c | 92.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 67c | 78.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 63.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 36c | 58.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 62c | 58.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…2543backed Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 51.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 50.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 49.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…112cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…ec72backed Under | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…b11ebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…db44backed Over | 55c | 36.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.