NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f58a34cd87346915de7fa6a17e67dc78c55c00e53748946b33ad2103625d7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1ec…55ebbacked Over | 49c | 16,500$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…74c2backed Under | 51c | 16,500$8,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…93a3backed Under | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Over | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…d7d5backed Over | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…2b11backed Under | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 52c | 14,398$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,795$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 6,998$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 6,222$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.22 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 48c | 5,739$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.58 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 4,294$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.9 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Under | 51c | 3,732$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.47 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 3,536$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.08 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Under | 49c | 2,152$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed Under | 50c | 2,008$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,822$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,598$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.32 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 1,436$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.15 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,322$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 1,061$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.37 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 884$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 51c | 874.51$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 561$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Under | 51c | 547$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 51c | 495.05$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 51c | 488.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.39 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaf…643fbacked Over | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 441.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.93 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…482ebacked Over | 50c | 402.28$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under | 50c | 378$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 363$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…76dfbacked Over | 49c | 359.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 338$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…56f2backed Over | 47c | 336.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 329.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…ccf4backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 53c | 273$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…8a08backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…d366backed Over | 47c | 214.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Under | 31c | 208.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Over | 57c | 198.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 191.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 56c | 179.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…16e8backed Over | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 60c | 99.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Over | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 93.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 51c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 51c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 49c | 82.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Over | 67c | 59.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 51c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 49c | 40.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 32c | 39.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.