NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canucks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3453cdc3cb9d24b04d9d3888b5d0f592d90d4e4a729dd73555a6350b2021b568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Canucks, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb72…10debacked Canucks | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Sharks | 67c | 902.66$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 33c | 553.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Canucks | 37c | 379.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sharks | 67c | 155.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canucks | 36c | 131$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Sharks | 65c | 128$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Sharks | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Canucks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Sharks | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Canucks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Sharks | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Sharks | 64c | 98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Sharks | 65c | 91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Sharks | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Canucks | 32c | 76.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sharks | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Sharks | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sharks | 63c | 57.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Sharks | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Sharks | 64c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Canucks | 32c | 49.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Canucks | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Canucks | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 33c | 41.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canucks | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Sharks | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Canucks | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Canucks | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Canucks | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Canucks | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Canucks | 33c | 34.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Canucks | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Canucks | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Canucks | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Sharks | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canucks | 34c | 30.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Sharks | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Sharks | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Sharks | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Sharks | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. CanucksSharks won
- Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.