NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac7846dc2a217d97b72c590616383d18d1a53310675dff6daba45ff532058d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 3,432$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.87 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 2,676$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.77 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.48 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 55c | 545.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.29 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Under | 53c | 530$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Over | 44c | 472.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 471.86$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 53c | 212$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 54c | 188$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 54c | 171$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 163.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 54c | 139$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…8b09backed Over | 49c | 96.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 20.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. CanucksSharks won
- Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.