TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Under44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c2,495$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.81,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Over56c1,752$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.8824654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under44c659.17$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0336038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Over56c261.57$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0914065.7%92 W · 48 L+13.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under45c256$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.23351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over54c252.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.534653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under45c248.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.783641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under45c198$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.14351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under45c196$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.22835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under45c169$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.055955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Under46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under25c152.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0433735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over55c139.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.731,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under45c128$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under45c122$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.94050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under45c115$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.754967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under45c101$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.453366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2919651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under45c89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.054643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over55c85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under45c83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.352236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over55c79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.552650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under45c74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over60c72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under41c72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1620045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Over55c67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.151435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under45c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.554148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35560%33 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Over55c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.052138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over55c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Over55c45.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.252445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under45c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed Over55c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…1328backed Over56c41.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under45c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.454259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Over55c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.619645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7610543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over59c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.761,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Over55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Over55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over55c34.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.571747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over54c34.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8656649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Over55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Over55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a4…bbe8backed Over55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked Over55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Over55c29.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.321637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Over55c28.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over59c27.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.386656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Over55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.151656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Over55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Over55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2527445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed Over55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Over55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Over55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Over55c20.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over56c19.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5614158.2%82 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.551752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Over55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.552157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Over55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.552653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over55c18.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1935248%169 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.