NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe022a5bff3c74b6e9e71afe2ac8dff4fcbd81c6846119895a6b6a0aa0b6123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Stars, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,109,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,820,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,109,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Sharks | 40c | 640,499$258,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382,261.6 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Stars | 60c | 459,080$274,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274,097.01 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 61c | 301,859$183,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,810.42 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Sharks | 41c | 205,144$84,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,082.96 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Stars | 60c | 78,563$47,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,181.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stars | 52c | 58,352$30,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,558.38 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Sharks | 40c | 45,559$18,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,132.17 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 47c | 33,728$15,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,971.15 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Stars | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Stars | 61c | 19,672$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 60c | 16,114$9,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,651.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Stars | 59c | 10,580$6,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Sharks | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Sharks | 39c | 9,295$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Stars | 61c | 9,295$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…c4d9backed Stars | 0c | 8,440$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Stars | 59c | 7,777$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.43 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 40c | 7,052$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.41 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Sharks | 36c | 6,666$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.89 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 71c | 6,034$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.21 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sharks | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sharks | 39c | 5,769$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.23 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Sharks | 36c | 5,643$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 16c | 5,569$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.81 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 27c | 5,459$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.14 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 60c | 5,102$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Stars | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Sharks | 41c | 4,749$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.73 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ff…2390backed Stars | 60c | 4,656$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Sharks | 40c | 4,355$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.7 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Stars | 60c | 4,270$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.44 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Stars | 60c | 4,139$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.29 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Stars | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Stars | 60c | 4,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…dc3cbacked Stars | 62c | 3,900$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Sharks | 40c | 3,650$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 61c | 3,372$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.72 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Stars | 63c | 3,322$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.1 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 39c | 3,284$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.01 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Stars | 76c | 3,271$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Stars | 62c | 3,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Stars | 60c | 3,001$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.09 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Stars | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…ec28backed Sharks | 38c | 2,982$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks | 44c | 2,828$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.85 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sharks | 40c | 2,600$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sharks | 40c | 2,511$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.9 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 40c | 2,500$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sharks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Stars | 60c | 2,400$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 65c | 2,278$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.4 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 19c | 2,205$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.17 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Sharks | 18c | 2,032$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.07 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Stars | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Stars | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Stars | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Sharks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Sharks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.95 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sharks | 36c | 1,862$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.68 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 48c | 1,726$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.34 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…7977backed Stars | 61c | 1,719$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e6…9a08backed Sharks | 39c | 1,697$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Sharks | 20c | 1,674$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.93 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,599$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.14 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Sharks | 21c | 1,556$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.1 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sharks | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Stars | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Stars | 5c | 1,481$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Stars | 60c | 1,371$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.6 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stars | 41c | 1,327$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.93 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks | 39c | 1,275$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.53 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Sharks | 11c | 1,225$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.82 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Sharks | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.8 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 60c | 1,171$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.53 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Sharks | 26c | 1,160$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 62c | 1,133$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…77abbacked Stars | 61c | 1,125$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Sharks | 41c | 1,119$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.31 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 62c | 1,112$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Stars | 56c | 1,068$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…bbfabacked Sharks | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Stars | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 60c | 1,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.45 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Sharks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sharks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…ce6ebacked Stars | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stars | 60c | 996$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.6 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…5c34backed Stars | 71c | 953.42$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Stars | 3c | 900$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 39c | 839.2$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.91 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Sharks | 43c | 834.19$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.36 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 57c | 831.53$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.24 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Sharksthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Sharks won
- Stars vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.